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polls

The Polls Aren’t Wrong. But Trump Can Still Win More Easily Than in 2016.

October 30, 2020 | FlaglerLive | 30 Comments

trump wins polls tristam

Biden’s lead in none of the key battleground states is outside the margin of error and national polling is only reflecting the concentration of Biden votes in already-blue states, and the migration of some Trump votes in still-red states. The polls have it right, but Trump’s road to re-election is actually less daunting than presumed.

Women and Independents Keep Bill Nelson Ahead of Rick Scott By 6 Points in Latest Poll

October 22, 2018 | FlaglerLive | 12 Comments

Unmoved by Michael: Sen. Bill nelson remains comfortably ahead of Gov. Rick Scott in the latest polling by Quinnipiac University. (© FlaglerLive)

Sen. Bill Nelson, drawing much higher favorability ratings and strong support from independents–key to all statewide races in Florida–is maintaining a comfortable 52-46 percent advantage over Gov. Rick Scott in the race for U.S. Senate.

Last Poll Before Election Day Has Clinton Maintaining Thinnest Lead, Rubio Well Ahead

November 7, 2016 | FlaglerLive | 3 Comments

Like old times: Bill Clinton and Jesse Jackson in Palatka Saturday.

Clinton’s 46-45 advantage over Trump in the last Quinnipiac University poll before Election Day is the same lead she had a week ago, and is within the poll’s margin of error.

Clinton Holds Narrow Lead Over Trump in Florida, But Larger Leads in Early Votes

November 2, 2016 | FlaglerLive | 7 Comments

It's been that kind of week for the Hillary Clinton campaign, but the latest Quinnipiac Poll numbers should revive a few spirits. (Hillary for America)

In Florida, Quinnipiac found that she is ahead by a substantial 48-42 lead among voters who have already cast ballots. That lead grows to double digits among Ohio and North Carolina early voters.

Clinton’s Lead in Florida Narrowing in Latest Poll, Rubio Up by 4 Over Murphy

October 26, 2016 | FlaglerLive | Leave a Comment

Bill Clinton was campaigning for Hillary in Pensacola Tuesday. (Hillary for America)

Clinton leads Trump by a margin of 46 percent to 43 percent in the poll, which was conducted from Friday to Sunday. That is down from a six-point lead in an FAU poll released Oct. 13. Trump was up by 2 percentage points in an August poll.

Clinton Surges Ahead in Latest Florida Poll as Alternate Candidates Fade

October 3, 2016 | FlaglerLive | 5 Comments

Hillary Clinton in Fort Pierce on Friday. (Hillary for America)

Hillary Clinton took a decisive five-point lead on Donald Trump in Florida the latest Quinnipiac University poll after being tied with him for two months, with voting already under way in the state. She also leads in North Carolina and Pennsylvania, but remains behind in Ohio.

Clinton Regains Lead in Florida as Debate Bounce Ripples and Trump Stumbles

September 30, 2016 | FlaglerLive | 12 Comments

clinton florida polls

Coming out of their first televised debate, Democrat Hillary Clinton holds a narrow lead over Republican Donald Trump in the critical battleground state of Florida, a new poll shows.

Trump-Bashing’s Indictment as Americans’ Trust in Mainstream Media Sinks to a New Low

September 19, 2016 | FlaglerLive | 12 Comments

Covering Trump’s contradictory and rash statements is one thing. That’s the media’s job. But there isn’t a commentator or an anchor on CNN who doesn’t wear a Clinton heart on his or her sleeve. With 53 days to go before the election, they’ve even stopped trying to hide it.

Trump and Clinton Are Tied in Florida in Latest Quinnipiac Poll

September 8, 2016 | FlaglerLive | 11 Comments

trump clinton

The two remain tied when the most prominent third-party candidates are thrown into the race, with Trump and Clinton drawing 43 percent apiece.

Trump-Hobbled Rubio No Longer a Shoo-In to His Senate Seat as Murphy Closes Gap

August 13, 2016 | FlaglerLive | 9 Comments

rubio murphy

The closeness of the race could be linked to recent struggles of controversial Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump — with the presidential race having an effect down the ballot.

Chamber Poll: Flagler’s Trump Country; Cuff, Lenhart, Holland, O’Brien and Conklin Win Big

August 12, 2016 | FlaglerLive | 18 Comments

hob nob chamber 2016

The Flagler County Chamber’s first candidate hob nob Thursday drew some 300 people and 250 participants in its straw poll, with results pointing at least to a few trends ahead of the Aug. 30 primary. Actual early voting begins Monday.

Clinton Erases Trump’s Brief, Slim Lead in Florida, Up in Ohio, Surging in Pennsylvania

August 10, 2016 | FlaglerLive | 21 Comments

clinton poll 2016 august quinnipiac

Hillary Clinton has regained the lead–barely–she relinquished last month to Donald Trump in Florida, turning a three-point deficit into a one-point advantage (46-45) in the latest Quinnipiac University poll of three battleground states.

In Newest Poll, Clinton Leads Trump in Florida, Rubio Narrowly Ahead of Murphy

July 17, 2016 | FlaglerLive | 12 Comments

hillary clinton

An NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Poll released Friday showed Clinton leading Trump by a margin of 44 percent to 37 percent in a head-to-head matchup in Florida, one of the most closely watched states in the country.

Trump Regains Lead in Florida as Clinton’s Numbers Crash Over Email Server Findings

July 13, 2016 | FlaglerLive | 23 Comments

donald trump

In a sharp reversal from three weeks ago, presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump has regained the advantage over Hillary Clinton in Florida and Pennsylvania and remains tied in Ohio in the latest Quinnipiac University swing-state poll.

Trump Lead in Florida Vanishes, Overtaken by Clinton Surge as GOP Leader’s Campaign Falters

June 21, 2016 | FlaglerLive | 19 Comments

donald trump poll trouble

Several factors contribute to Trump’s fading including disarray within his campaign, lack of money, organization and staffing, and backlash from his racism. For Clinton, the fading of the Sanders campaign is helping migrate more supporters to the presumptive Democratic nominee.

What Blowout? Trump Even With Clinton in Florida and Pennsylvania, Ahead in Ohio

May 10, 2016 | FlaglerLive | 16 Comments

donald trumpo hillary clinton quinnipiac poll florida ohio pennsylvania

The latest Quinnipiac poll shows Clinton barely ahead, 43-42 in Florida and Pennsylvania, and Trump somewhat ahead in Ohio, 43-39, though results may be slightly affected by still-ongoing Democratic primary contests.

29% Have Already Voted in Flagler; Trump and Clinton Hold Commanding Poll Lead in Florida

March 14, 2016 | FlaglerLive | 10 Comments

trump clinton florida poll

In Flagler, 15,659 voters have already cast a ballot through early voting and voting by mail, a significant increase from 2012 even after accounting for two major primary contests. .

“Little Marco” Borne Out in Latest Florida Poll as Trump Trounces Rubio With 2-1 Advantage

March 9, 2016 | FlaglerLive | 9 Comments

marco rubio florida election trump

Donald Trump is ahead of Rubio in Florida by a 45-22 margin, with Ted Cruz at 18 percent and Ohio’s John Kasich at 8 percent. The Quinnipiac University poll is considered the most accurate in Florida.

With 3 Weeks to Go Before Florida Primary, Trump Is Thumping Rubio By 16 Points, on Rubio’s Turf

February 25, 2016 | FlaglerLive | 9 Comments

donald trump marco rubio polls

The New York real-estate mogul holds a commanding 44-28 percent lead over Rubio among likely GOP primary voters, the Quinnipiac University poll found. U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas came in third with 12 percent.

Trump Surges to “Crushing” Lead in Florida While Clinton Begins to Strengthen Again

January 20, 2016 | FlaglerLive | 23 Comments

donald trump florida poll

The latest FAU poll has Trump surging to a 47.6 percent lead, with Ted Cruz, more than 30 points behind and Rubio and Bush hobbling in at 11.1 and 9.1 percent. Ben Carson has all but vanished at just over 3 percent.

Trump in Florida Maintains Big Lead Over Rubio and Easily Beats Clinton in Latest Poll

November 18, 2015 | FlaglerLive | 7 Comments

donald trump poll florida

Donald Trump has double the support of Marco Rubio, with Ben Carson a distant third, and would beat Hillary Clinton by 8 points in Florida Atlantic University Business and Economics Polling Initiative.

Trump Leads By Far Among Florida Republicans as Rubio Leaps Ahead of Bush

September 23, 2015 | FlaglerLive | 7 Comments

marco rubio trump bush

Donald Trump leads with 31.5 percent in a GOP primary, in Florida Atlantic University poll, followed by Rubio in second place with 19.2 percent, followed by Bush at 11.3 percent, Carson at 10.3 percent and Carly Fiorina at 8.3 percent.

Believe It: Trump, in 2nd Place, Is Within 3 Points of Bush in New Hampshire Poll

June 24, 2015 | FlaglerLive | 10 Comments

donald trump

Bush was favored by 14 percent of the 500 likely primary voters surveyed, with 11 percent preferring Trump, even though only 37 percent of those surveyed viewed Trump favorably compared to 49 percent who had an unfavorable opinion of him.

Clinton Still Leads Rubio and Bush in Florida, But Most Voters Call Her Dishonest

June 17, 2015 | FlaglerLive | 24 Comments

hillary clinton trust honesty

Te gender gap is working strongly in Hillary Clinton’s favor: she has a double-digit lead among women when matched against Rubio or Bush, though her overall numbers have weakened since late last year.

Not So Good For Jeb: Hillary Would Tie Him in Florida, Easily Beat Him in Other Swings

February 3, 2015 | FlaglerLive | 16 Comments

Hillary Clinton is ahead of Jeb Bush by a statistically insignificant 1 point in Florida but beats him or Chris Christie handily in Ohio and Pennsylvania in a prospective contest for the presidency.

Crist Clings To Statistically Insignificant Lead Over Scott in Last Poll Before Election Day

November 3, 2014 | FlaglerLive | 2 Comments

With early voting done and among those who have already voted, however, Charlie Crist has taken a more commanding lead of 44 percent to Scott’s 40 percent.

Charlie Crist Takes 3-Point Lead in Latest Quinnipiac Poll, With Boost from Independents

October 30, 2014 | FlaglerLive | 12 Comments

The numbers suggest that independents, who decide most close elections in Florida, are migrating to Crist and may have been alienated by Scott’s negative ad blitz.

Crist and Scott Deadlocked at 42% in Latest Quinnipiac Poll as Early Voting Begins

October 22, 2014 | FlaglerLive | 9 Comments

Among those who have already voted, the poll found Crist leading by 5 points–42 to 38, with Wyllie getting just 3 percent. Scott’s trump card is his ready millions of dollars, Crist’s is the younger voters hoping to pass the medical marijuana legalization amendment.

In Sharp Turnaround, Scott Now Ahead Of Crist, With or Without Wyllie in the Race

September 24, 2014 | FlaglerLive | 12 Comments

The momentum has shifted in Rick Scott’s favor as Crist’s 10-point advantage six months ago has been erased, with money more than Wyllie appearing to be making the biggest difference.

As Crist’s Lead Over Scott Erodes, Libertarian Adrian Wyllie Throws X-Factor Into Race

July 23, 2014 | FlaglerLive | 7 Comments

The latest Quinnipiac poll has Scott still trails Crist, but by only five points, 45 to 40 percent. That’s in a two-way race. When Libertarian Adrian Wyllie is thrown in the mix, its 39-37 for Crist, which is within the margin of error, with Wyllie taking a substantial 9 percent.

Hillary Clinton Would Trounce Chris Christie, Jeb Bush and Rubio In Latest Florida Poll

January 31, 2014 | FlaglerLive | 35 Comments

The latest Quinnipiac poll shows Clinton beating Bush 49-43 and Rubio 51-41 in 2016, with no clear front-runner among Republicans, in contrast with Democrats, among whom Clinton is by far the front-runner. No Democrat or Republican in at least a generation has had as commanding a lead as Clinton so early in the process.

Charlie Crist Maintains Comfortable 46%-38% Lead Over Rick Scott in Latest Quinnipiac Poll

January 30, 2014 | FlaglerLive | 8 Comments

The poll indicates Crist has comfortable leads with closely watched groups such as independents and Hispanic voters. Also, it continues to show that voters have a generally negative view of Scott, with 54 percent of voters saying Scott does not deserve to be re-elected, while 38 percent saying he does.

Crist Lead Over Scott Almost Erased in Latest Poll; Support for Gay Marriage and Pot Grows

January 23, 2014 | FlaglerLive | 43 Comments

Charlie Crist may have fewer reasons to smile, though he was visiting what he termed 'the greatest Capitol press corps in the country' when this photo was taken last week. (Charlie Crist/Facebook)

The latest Public Policy Poll has Crist leading Scott by an insignificant 43 to 41 percent, well inside the 4 percent margin of error, as Scott’s attacks on Crist pay off. Also, 65 percent favor medical marijuana, and 47 percent said same-sex marriage should be allowed, with 44 percent opposed.

Crist 7 Points Ahead of Scott in Latest Quinnipiac Poll; Floridians Overwhelmingly Favor Medical Marijuana

November 21, 2013 | FlaglerLive | 19 Comments

If the election for Florida governor were held today, Charlie Crist would be the likely winner over Rick Scott by a 47 to 40 percent advantage, a Quinnipiac poll released this morning found, and Scott’s negative ratings continue to weigh heavily on his chances. Florida voters support 82-16 percent allowing adults to legally use marijuana for medical use if it is prescribed by a doctor.

Hillary Clinton Would Easily Beat Rubio and Bush in Florida as Even Hispanics Rally Behind Her

June 19, 2013 | FlaglerLive | 14 Comments

In the latest Quinnipiac poll, Jeb Bush would beat Joe Biden in Florida, by a close margin. Marco Rubio would beat Biden by an even closer margin. But Hillary Clinton would beat both Rubio or Bush quite easily: 50 to 43 percent against Bush, 53 to 41 percent against Rubio, whose Hispanic heritage would not help him overcome the deficit.

Second Poll in 2 Days Shows Crist Routing Scott as Governor’s Low Approval Drags Down GOP

March 20, 2013 | FlaglerLive | 13 Comments

The latest Quinnipiac University poll shows Crist beating Scott by 16 points and other Republicans losing as well as Scott’s unpopularity appears to be dragging down the GOP brand.

Obama Opens Biggest Florida Lead Yet As Romney Reels from 47% Remark

September 26, 2012 | FlaglerLive | 20 Comments

Romney’s challenge is no longer to win just undecided voters–a very thin sliver–but to win back voters who have decided to give Obama a second term. The three October debates are Romney’s last chance to make a play for those voters.

Fox News Has Obama Leading by 5 in Florida

September 20, 2012 | FlaglerLive | 6 Comments

The Fox News poll of likely voters has Obama leading Romney 49 percent to 44 in Florida, and by seven points in Ohio and Virginia. If similar results hold on Election Day, Mitt Romney will lose the election.

A Micro-Bump for Romney in Florida, But Obama Still Leads, Especially on Medicare

August 23, 2012 | FlaglerLive | 21 Comments

The latest Quinnipiac polls in swing states show President Obama maintaining diminishing leads over Mitt Romney despite voters saying Obama will do a better job on Medicare. The polls reflect Romney’s pick of Wisconsin’s Paul Ryan.

Flagler Tea Party Straw Poll Winners: Stevens, Westbrook, Warren, Meeker, But Not Schools

August 2, 2012 | FlaglerLive | 26 Comments

Some of the Tea Party straw poll's big winners: Scott Westbrook, left, one of seven candidates for county judge, Stasia Warren, who's challenging R.J. Larizza for State Attorney, and Ray Stevens, one of three Republicans running for Sheriff in the Aug. 14 primary. (© FlaglerLive)

The Flagler County Tea Party’s straw poll included 14 races on the Aug. 14 ballot, plus the school board’s half-penny sales tax referendum, which drew 67 percent against, a worrisome sign for the school board.

Obama Crosses 50% Favorability Over Romney in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania

August 1, 2012 | FlaglerLive | 24 Comments

No one has won the White House in the past half century without winning at least two of the three states. The latest results are the strongest yet for Obama, and a worrisome sign for Mitt Romney down the stretch.

Florida’s Hispanics Like Obama Over Romney By Big Margin, Dimming Rubio’s VP Appeal

June 27, 2012 | FlaglerLive | 36 Comments

Hispanic voters in Florida, traditionally Republican, prefer Obama over Romney by a 56-32 margin, buttressing the president’s advantage among Independents.

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