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Weather and Climate

The GOP’s Death Cult Is Holding Us Hostage to Climate Ignorance

August 13, 2023 | FlaglerLive | 12 Comments

The planet is angry. The GOP is indifferent. (NOAA)

The Earth is being held hostage by the party of ignorance, “conservatives” who no longer want to conserve anything other than white privilege. They’ve become a death cult, denying what’s obvious to rational, literate people. Who cares if the seas are boiling? As long as they “own the libs.”

NOAA Says Hurricane Season Will Be More Intense Than Originally Predicted

August 11, 2023 | FlaglerLive | 1 Comment

Hurricane Don at 6:20 PM EDT on July 22, 2023 in the Atlantic. Don was the first hurricane of the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season. (Image credit: NOAA)

Scientists at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center have increased their prediction for the ongoing 2023 Atlantic hurricane season from a near-normal level of activity to an above-normal level of activity–for 14 to 21 named storms, up from the originally predicted 12 to 17 named storms.

The Heroic Effort to Save Florida’s Coral Reef from Devastating Record Heat

August 10, 2023 | FlaglerLive | 6 Comments

Elkhorn coral fragments rescued from overheating ocean nurseries sit in cooler water at Keys Marine Laboratory. (NOAA)

As water temperatures spiked in the Florida Keys, scientists from universities, coral reef restoration groups and government agencies launched a heroic effort to save the corals. Divers have been in the water every day, collecting thousands of corals from ocean nurseries along the Florida Keys reef tract and moving them to cooler water and into giant tanks on land.

Index Up to 117, Excessive Heat Warning in Effect for Palm Coast and Flagler County, With No Relief This Week

August 9, 2023 | FlaglerLive | 17 Comments

excessive heat warning

An excessive heat warning is in effect today in inland and coastal Flagler County, including Palm Coast and Flagler Beach, from 10 a.m. to 8 p.m., with the heat index reaching 117 in the shade. The forecast for the rest of the week is not much different: as of today, the heat index for Flagler-Palm Coast is expected to range between 114 and 117 every day at least through Friday.

How Hot Is Too Hot for the Human Body?

July 21, 2023 | FlaglerLive | 3 Comments

punishing heat health

Extreme heat has been breaking records across Europe, Asia and North America, with millions of people sweltering in heat and humidity well above “normal” for days on end. “When will it get too hot for normal daily activity as we know it, even for young, healthy adults?” Here are some answers.

Excessive Heat Warning for Flagler and Palm Coast Today as Heat Index Will Reach 113

July 21, 2023 | FlaglerLive | 11 Comments

Palm Coast is broiling. (© FlaglerLive)

The National Weather Service in Jacksonville has issued a rare excessive heat warning for Flagler County and Northeast Florida. Near record heat will combine with summertime humidity today to produce dangerous heat index values. The heat index is expected to reach 113 in the Palm Coast-Flagler area today, and 112 Saturday, before falling to 106 on Sunday and 100 on Monday.

Emergency Management Chief Guthrie Urges Precautions in Searing Heat

July 18, 2023 | FlaglerLive | Leave a Comment

State Emergency Director Kevin Guthrie. (© FlaglerLive)

The heat index in Flagler County is expected to reach 110 on successive days this week. State emergency management officials are advising Floridians to ensure safety amid stifling heat.

Hurricane Forecast Increases from 13 to 18 Named Storms This Season

July 7, 2023 | FlaglerLive | 3 Comments

Hurricane Ian on Sept. 28, 2022. (NASA Earth Observatory image by Joshua Stevens)

A new forecast for this hurricane season predicts 18 named storms, with winds of at least 39 miles per hour; nine hurricanes, with winds of at least 74 mph; and four major hurricanes, with winds of at least 111 mph.

Flagler Replaces Confusing Letter-Based Evacuation Zones With Neighborhood Names as Hurricane Season Begins

May 30, 2023 | FlaglerLive | 4 Comments

flagler county evacuation zones

As the 2023 hurricane season begins–with a forecast of 12 to 17 named storms–Flagler County’s Evacuation Zones A and B and C are a thing of the past, replaced by a more intuitive, neighborhood-named system. Emergency Management Director Jonathan Lord previewed the season and a few changes ahead.

The Thinking error Behind Climate Change Deniers

May 2, 2023 | FlaglerLive | 13 Comments

Try denying that: a drought-ridden Lake Mead, behind Hoover Dam. (© FlaglerLive)

Cold spells often bring climate change deniers out in force. From a scientific standpoint, these claims of disproof are absurd. Fluctuations in the weather don’t refute clear long-term trends in the climate. Yet many people believe these claims, and the political result has been reduced willingness to take action to mitigate climate change.

El Niño Is On the Way, With Oceans Already at Record High Temps

April 18, 2023 | FlaglerLive | 8 Comments

Marine heat waves can reach the ocean floor as well as surface waters. Sebastian Pena Lambarri via Unsplash, CC BY

During El Niño, a swath of ocean stretching 6,000 miles warms for months on end, typically by 2 to 4 degrees Fahrenheit–more than enough to completely reorganize wind, rainfall and temperature patterns all over the planet.

Scattered Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Today in Flagler

April 13, 2023 | FlaglerLive | 5 Comments

severe weather

The National Weather Service in Jacksonville cautions that today–Thursday–will bring unsettled weather to the Flagler-Palm Coast region.

Strong Nor’easter Conditions and Erosion Expected on Easter Sunday and Monday

April 8, 2023 | FlaglerLive | 7 Comments

windy soggy easter

The National Weather Service in Jacksonville is cautioning that strong north-northeasterly winds will develop in the wake of a cold front tonight and Sunday at coastal locations including all of Flagler County’s, with strong winds continuing through Monday.

Why Tornadoes Are Still Hard to Forecast

April 2, 2023 | FlaglerLive | 1 Comment

A tornado touches down. Morgan Schneider/OU CIMMS/NOAA NSSL

Meteorologists have gotten a lot better at forecasting the conditions that make tornadoes more likely. But predicting exactly which thunderstorms will produce a tornado and when is harder, and that’s where a lot of severe weather research is focused today.

Climate Is Reaching a Critical Turning Point, Report Warns, But Options Remain

March 20, 2023 | FlaglerLive | 8 Comments

IPCC video report

The world is in deep trouble on climate change, but if we really put our shoulder to the wheel we can turn things around. Loosely, that’s the essence of today’s report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).

Severe Thunderstorm Potential Sunday Night Into Monday

March 12, 2023 | FlaglerLive | 1 Comment

The National Weather Service in Jacksonville's latest forecast about the squall line's effects on the region.

A Low-pressure system and accompanying cold front will generate strong to severe thunderstorms Sunday afternoon into Monday in Northeast Florida and Southwest Georgia. The squall line is expected over Flagler County between 11 p.m. this evening and 8 a.m. Monday. after 7 p.m.

How Atmospheric Rivers Are Accelerating Polar Melt

February 6, 2023 | FlaglerLive | 2 Comments

Atmospheric rivers, those long, powerful streams of moisture in the sky, are becoming more frequent in the Arctic, and they’re helping to drive dramatic shrinking of the Arctic’s sea ice cover. Sea ice loss contributes to global warming and to extreme storms that cause economic damage well beyond the Arctic.

Climate Change Helped Make 2022 the 3rd Most Expensive Year on Record

January 11, 2023 | FlaglerLive | 3 Comments

Several areas were hit with 1,000-year floods in 2022.

U.S. weather disasters are getting costlier as more people move into vulnerable areas and climate change raises the risks of extreme heat and rainfall. Even with an average hurricane season, 2022 had the third-highest number of billion-dollar disasters in the U.S. since 1980.

2022’s US Climate Disasters

December 20, 2022 | FlaglerLive | Leave a Comment

Rain and fast snowmelt sent the Yellowstone River and nearby streams raging beyond their banks in June 2022.

The year 2022 will be remembered across the U.S. for its devastating flooding, storms and hurricanes – and also for its extreme heat waves and droughts, including one so severe it briefly shut down traffic on the Mississippi River.

Seafloor Evidence from Old Hurricanes Has Oceanographers Worried

November 28, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 2 Comments

Deep ‘blue holes,’ like this one off Belize, can collect evidence of hurricanes. The TerraMar Project, CC BY

Hurricanes leave behind telltale evidence that goes back millennia. The Atlantic has experienced even stormier periods in the past than we’ve seen in recent years. That’s not good news. It tells coastal oceanographers like me that we may be significantly underestimating the threat hurricanes pose to Caribbean islands and the North American coast in the future.

Coalition Calls for Florida Legislative Committee Focused on Climate Change

November 28, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 2 Comments

When front decks become docks. (© FlaglerLive)

More than a dozen environmental and community-based organizations are calling on the new leaders of the Florida Legislature to create a special committee to address climate change, saying that the issue is the biggest threat to the state.

Nicole Lashes at Flagler’s Coast, Severely Damaging Parts of A1A as Officials Advise to ‘Hunker Down Today’

November 10, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 18 Comments

State Road A1A in Flagler Beach again sustained heavy damage and was expected to be closed in parts, including at the south end of the county, where damage was similarly heavy. (© Rick Belhumeur for FlaglerLive)

The 500-mile-wide Nicole made landfall as a hurricane near Vero Beach around 3 a.m. Thursday, battering Florida’s east coast with damaging waves that have wrecked parts of State Road A1A in Flagler Beach, while swathing parts of the state in tropical storm conditions.

Tropical Storm Nicole Took a Toll Along A1A Wednesday, With ‘Devastating’ Beach Impacts Still Ahead

November 9, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 21 Comments

An elaborate deck and walkover at the south end of Flagler Beach was in pieces after this morning's high tide, the dunes around it significantly eroded again after the Department fo Transportation only last week had replenished the sands. (© FlaglerLive)

The center of Tropical Storm Nicole was about 300 miles southeast of Flagler Beach in mid-afternoon today, but the vastness of its strength and impacts was apparent up and down Flagler County’s coast, with most pronounced damages to dunes south of the Flagler Beach pier and toward the Flagler-Volusia County line.

Barrier Island May Be Evacuated Wednesday Morning as Nicole’s Effects on Flagler Could Repeat Ian’s

November 7, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 9 Comments

Tropical Storm Nicole's path has become more defined, and appears to head for a Florida impact later this week. (NHC)

Flagler County emergency management officials are cautioning residents of the barrier island, from Flagler Beach to Marineland, to be ready to evacuate as early as Wednesday as sub-tropical storm Nicole strengthens into a hurricane, making landfall in south Florida in the first hours of Thursday. Talks are ongoing possibly to stand up a shelter at the Palm Coast Community Center.

What To Expect at the Climate Summit

November 6, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 1 Comment

This year’s climate summit is seen as the one that can bring concrete actions and commitments on emission reductions and also on the financing of losses and damages resulting from climate change to the global south. But will it be more successful than previous summits?

Tropical Storm Nicole Took a Toll Along A1A Wednesday, (Redirected)

November 5, 2022 | FlaglerLive | Leave a Comment

An elaborate deck and walkover at the south end of Flagler Beach was in pieces after this morning's high tide, the dunes around it significantly eroded again after the Department fo Transportation only last week had replenished the sands. (© FlaglerLive)

The center of Tropical Storm Nicole was about 300 miles southeast of Flagler Beach in mid-afternoon today, but the vastness of its strength and impacts was apparent up and down Flagler County’s coast, with most pronounced damages to dunes south of the Flagler Beach pier and toward the Flagler-Volusia County line.

Potential Storm Has Flagler Officials Worried About Further Damage to Weakened Dunes

November 3, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 8 Comments

The European forecasting model has the storm striking the northeast coast of Florida on Nov. 9, but not as a tropical storm. And the forecast models right now differ significantly. (Tropical Tidbits)

A storm developing east of the Bahamas has Flagler County officials worried–not about a significant wind or rain event, but about higher tides, high waves and further damage to the already weakened dune system along the county’s 18 miles of coastline.

Sub-Tropical Storm Nicole to Become Hurricane Before Florida Landfall (redirected)

November 1, 2022 | FlaglerLive | Leave a Comment

Tropical Storm Nicole's path has become more defined, and appears to head for a Florida impact later this week. (NHC)

Sub-Tropical Storm Nicole’s more defined path now has it becoming a hurricane before it makes landfall in South Florida late Wednesday. A tropical storm watch is in effect for Flagler County, where the Weather Service is forecasting widespread impacts with prolonged coastal flooding, possible tropical-storm-force winds, locally heavy rainfall, and rough surf later this week.

The Blessing of Barrier Islands

October 4, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 4 Comments

Cumberland Island National Seashore off the coast of Georgia. (NPS, CC BY-SA)

Barrier islands protect about 10 percent of coastlines worldwide. When hurricanes and storms make landfall, these strands absorb much of their force, reducing wave energy and protecting inland areas. They also provide a sheltered environment that enables estuaries and marshes to form behind them.

Understanding Storm Surge and Why It Can Be So Catastrophic

September 29, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 1 Comment

Storm surge can push water levels well above normal sea level during a hurricane. Sean Rayford/Getty Images

Of all the hazards that hurricanes bring, storm surge is the greatest threat to life and property along the coast. It can sweep homes off their foundations, flood riverside communities miles inland, and break up dunes and levees that normally protect coastal areas against storms.

What Happens When Hurricane Hunters Plunge Into the Eyewall of a Storm

September 27, 2022 | FlaglerLive | Leave a Comment

Flying into Hurricane Harvey aboard a a P-3 Hurricane Hunter nicknamed Kermit in 2018. (Lt. Kevin Doreumus/NOAA)

The leader of NOAA’s hurricane field program and a University of Miami meteorologist describes the experience aboard a P-3 Orion as it plunges through the eyewall of a hurricane and the technology the team uses to gauge hurricane behavior in real time.

Hurricane Ian’s 2-Day Stall Off Tampa Could Bring Flooding Rains and Wind to Flagler

September 26, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 9 Comments

The rain potential has intensified for Flagler and the rest of Central Florida over the next several days as the Hurricane Ian track has solidified, and the storm is expected to nearly stall.

Hurricane Ian is expected to nearly stall as a major hurricane off the coast of Tampa Bay, lashing the northeast of Florida with torrential rain and raising the potential for floods in addition to some tropical storm-force winds. Flagler governments are beginning to shut down regular operations and declare states of emergency.

3 Reasons Hurricane Ian Poses a Major Flooding Hazard for Florida

September 26, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 2 Comments

Hurricane Ian gained strength as it headed over warm waters off Cuba on Sept. 26, 2022.

While Ian travels up the Florida coast, these outer bands will stretch over much of the peninsula and produce heavy rain for many locations, beginning as early as Monday night for South Florida and late Wednesday for northern parts of the state.

Fiona Strikes Canada? Blame Global Warming.

September 25, 2022 | FlaglerLive | Leave a Comment

Fiona strikes Canada. (NASA)

The huge storm had a very low atmospheric pressure (931.6 mb) — which is the lowest ever recorded for a tropical storm that made landfall in Canada. Low pressure weather systems are associated with strong winds and heavy rains.

Flagler Making Sandbags Available Starting Today as Flooding Is in Forecast

September 25, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 2 Comments

Sand-bagging ahead of Dorian in Flagler County three years ago. (© FlaglerLive)

Flagler County officials are starting sandbag operations Sunday as the one certainty about Tropical Storm Ian is that it will bring plenty of rain with it and a high likelihood of flooding in some areas. Two locations will open about noon today – one on the barrier island and the other in western Flagler County.

Tropical Storm Ian: Intensity of Coming Hurricane Certain, Landfall Location Less So

September 25, 2022 | FlaglerLive | Leave a Comment

The models are in largely in agreement about Tropical Storm Ian’s path over the next three days as it becomes Hurricane Ian: a slight arc around western Cuba and into the Gulf of Mexico. But the models diverge after that, with some projecting a more westerly path and some having Ian strike Florida at Tampa Bay.

As Hurricane Hermine Ian Gestates, King Tide Flooding Is More Immediate Concern in Flagler

September 23, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 14 Comments

What is expected to become Hurricane Hermine is now Tropical Depression 9. But Flagler County residents should be more immediately concerned about high tides and flooding.

What is expected to become Hurricane Hermine is now Tropical Depression 9. But Flagler County residents should be more immediately concerned about the effects of a king tide combining with remnants of Hurricane Fiona and the approach of Hermine, all of which will create significant flooding conditions along the Intracoastal and low-lying areas of Palm Coast and western Flagler.

Arctic Is Warming Nearly 4 Times Faster Than Rest of the Planet

August 12, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 6 Comments

The Arctic is on average around 3℃ warmer than it was in 1980. This is alarming, because the Arctic contains sensitive and delicately balanced climate components that, if pushed too hard, will respond with global consequences.

Mid-Season Update Still Projects Above-Normal Atlantic Hurricane Activity

August 5, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 5 Comments

noaa midseason update

Atmospheric and oceanic conditions still favor an above-normal 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, according to NOAA’s annual mid-season update issued today by the Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service.

How Record-Setting Heat Waves Could Punish Economies Already Reeling from Inflation

July 20, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 3 Comments

A runner tries to beat the heat by working out in the morning. (AP Photo/Michael Probst)

Hundreds of millions of people struggled to keep cool amid a sweltering summer heat wave as cities across the U.S. and mainland Europe experienced record-high temperatures. Here are four ways extreme heat hurts the economy.

What the Controversial 1972 ‘Limits to Growth’ Report Got Right

July 12, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 1 Comment

Image of Earth’s city lights, created with data from the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program.

“The Limits to Growth,” an extension of biologist Paul Ehrlich’s bestselling “The Population Bomb,” was way off in some regards, but dead on in this one: Humans must limit and soon reduce their aggregate production of greenhouse gas emissions.

July Rains Relieve Northeast Florida of Abnormally Dry Conditions

July 12, 2022 | FlaglerLive | Leave a Comment

A map illustrates rainfall conditions in June across the St. Johns River Water Management District.

Recent rainfall throughout the St. Johns River Water Management District’s 18-county region, which includes Flagler County, has relieved portions of northeast Florida that had been abnormally dry after below-average rainfall in June.

Understanding the Heat Dome: Why America Is Baking

June 22, 2022 | FlaglerLive | Leave a Comment

The first day of summer 2022 brought soaring temperatures across a large part of the United States. National Weather Service

A heat dome occurs when a persistent region of high pressure traps heat over an area. The heat dome can stretch over several states and linger for days to weeks, leaving the people, crops and animals below to suffer through stagnant, hot air that can feel like an oven.

Antarctica’s Riskiest Glacier Is Losing Its Grip

June 9, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 2 Comments

The front of Thwaites Glacier is a jagged, towering cliff. (David Vaughan/British Antarctic Survey)

Antarctica is a continent comprising several large islands, one of them the size of Australia, all buried under a 10,000-foot-thick layer of ice. The ice holds enough fresh water to raise sea level by nearly 200 feet. You don’t want its glaciers melting. They are.

Tropical Storm Almost-Alex: No Direct Impacts for Flagler, But a Good Reminder to Prepare

June 3, 2022 | FlaglerLive | Leave a Comment

The National Hurricane Center is expected to name Tropical Storm Alex Friday afternoon. The storm will move rapidly across the southern Florida Peninsula, with no direct impacts on Flagler County. (NOAA)

While Flagler County’s Emergency Operations Center staff is keeping an eye on the storm, Emergency Management Chief Jonathan Lord says Flagler will see some wind and up to a quarter to half an inch of rain Saturday, but little else from the storm soon to be called Alex.

BP’s Flagler County Rainfall and Climate Report for May 2022

June 1, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 2 Comments

The Climate Prediction Center is forecasting near normal temperatures for June.

The following is Flagler County Emergency Management Weather Specialist Bob Pickering’s report for Flagler County rainfall and climate in May, as prepared and submitted today. 

“Be Prepared to Be Off the Grid”: Flagler Emergency Management Chief Decodes Hurricane Season

June 1, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 6 Comments

Flagler County Emergency Management Chief Jonathan Lord discussing the 2022 hurrricane season, which began today, as a tropical system that may turn into the season's first named storm loomed over the Guld of Mexico. (© FlaglerLive)

Flagler County Emergency Management Chief Jonathan Lord today prefaced the 2022 hurricane season, with 14 to 21 storms predicted, six to 10 of them expected to become hurricanes. There are some worrisome weather factors in play, but also improvements in preparation and infrastructure.

Bad News for Hurricane Season: Loop Current, Fueler of Monster Storms, Looks a lot like in the Year of Katrina

May 18, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 3 Comments

A satellite image of ocean heat shows the strong Loop Current and swirling eddies. Christopher Henze, NASA/Ames

The Loop Current is the 800-pound gorilla of Gulf hurricane risks. When the Loop Current reaches this far north this early in the hurricane season – especially during what’s forecast to be a busy season – it can spell disaster for folks along the Northern Gulf Coast, from Texas to Florida.

Free “Storm Spotters” Class On May 20 At Emergency Operations Center

May 8, 2022 | FlaglerLive | Leave a Comment

The storm sweeping out of the area, as captured by Flagler Beach photographer and attorney Scott Spradley this morning.

Participants are eligible to become volunteer storm spotters and assist Emergency Services and the National Weather Service by reporting potentially hazardous weather events.

The Southwest is on Fire: 3 Reasons the 2022 Fire Season Is So Early and Intense

May 7, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 2 Comments

Wind quickly spread a blaze that burned homes near Flagstaff, Ariz., in April 2022. (Coconino National Forest via AP)

New Mexico and Arizona are facing a dangerously early fire season, with 600 fires leaving neighborhoods in ashes and triggering a federal disaster declaration. A scientist explains why the unusual intensity and timing.

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