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Why You Shouldn’t Be So Quick to Cheer the Demise of Twitter

November 18, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 5 Comments

demise of twitter
Twitter itself produces a lot of data that’s available nowhere else. (STR/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

By Anjana Susarla

What do a cybersecurity researcher building a system to generate alerts for detecting security threats and vulnerabilities, a wildfire watcher who tracks the spread of forest fires, and public health professionals trying to predict enrollment in health insurance exchanges have in common?




They all rely on analyzing data from Twitter.

Twitter is a microblogging service, meaning it’s designed for sharing posts of short segments of text and embedded audio and video clips. The ease with which people can share information among millions of others worldwide on Twitter has made it very popular for real-time conversations. Whether it is people tweeting about their favorite sports teams, or organizations and public figures using Twitter to reach a mass audience, Twitter has been part of the collective record for over a decade.

The Twitter archives allow for instant and complete access to every public tweet, which has positioned Twitter both as a archive of collective human behavior and as a credentialing and fact-checking service on a global scale. As a researcher who studies social media, I believe that these functions are very valuable for academics, policymakers and anyone using aggregate data to obtain insights into human behavior.

The proliferation of scams and brand impersonators, the hemorrhaging of advertisers, and disarray within the company call the future of the platform into question. If Twitter were to go under, the loss would reverberate around the world.

Analyzing human behavior




With its massive trove of tweets, Twitter has provided new ways to quantify public discourse and new tools to map aggregate perceptions, and offers a window into large-scale human behavior. Such digital traces or records of human activity allow researchers in fields ranging from social sciences to healthcare to analyze a variety of phenomena.

From open source intelligence to citizen science, Twitter has not only been a digital public square, but has also allowed researchers to infer attitudes that are difficult to detect through methods from traditional field research. For example, people’s willingness to pay for policies and services that address climate change has traditionally been measured through surveys of subjective well-being. Twitter sentiment data gives researchers and policymakers another tool for assessing these attitudes in order to take more meaningful action on climate change.

Researchers in public health have found an association between tweeting about HIV and incidence of HIV, and have been able to measure sentiment at the neighborhood level to assess the overall health of the people in those neighborhoods.

Place and time

Geotagged data from Twitter helps in a variety of fields such as urban land use and disaster resilience. Being able to identify the locations for a set of tweets allows researchers to correlate information in the tweets with times and places – for example, correlating tweets and ZIP codes to identify hot spots of vaccine hesitancy.




Twitter has been invaluable in the field of open source intelligence (OSINT), particularly for tracking down war crimes. OSINT uses crowdsourcing to identify the locations of photos and videos. In Ukraine, human rights investigators have focused on using Twitter and TikTok to search for evidence of abuses.

Open source intelligence has also been helpful for cutting through the fog of war. For example, OSINT analysts were quick to provide evidence that the missile that exploded in Przewodow, Poland near the Ukrainian border on Nov. 15, 2022 was likely an S-300 antiaircraft missile and unlikely a ballistic or cruise missile fired by Russia.

Credentialing and verification

Although misinformation has been disseminated far and wide on Twitter, the platform also serves a role as a global verification mechanism. First, vast numbers of people use Twitter and other social media platforms. With crowdsourcing writ large, social media assumes the role of an authoritative information provider, reducing some of the uncertainty people face in searching for new information. The platforms perform a credentialing role that some scholars refer to as “public relevance algorithms,” in that they have replaced dedicated business or technical expertise in identifying what people need to know.

Another way has been official credentialing. Prior to Elon Musk’s takeover, Twitter’s verification method provided public figures with a blue check mark on their profiles, which served as a shortcut in establishing whether a source of a tweet was who the person claimed to be.

While problems such as fake news, misinformation and hate speech exist, the credentialing ability coupled with the vast number of people who use the platform in real time made Twitter a provider of credible information and a fact-checker.

The digital public square

Twitter’s dual role in fostering real-time communication and acting as an arbitrator of authoritative information is of crucial interest to academics, journalists and government agencies. During the pandemic, for example, many public health agencies turned to Twitter to promote behavior that mitigates the risk of infection.

During disasters and emergencies, Twitter has been a great venue for crowdsourced eyewitness data. During Hurricane Harvey, for example, researchers found that that users responded and interacted the most with tweets from verified Twitter accounts, and especially from government organizations. Official Twitter accounts helped in the rapid dissemination of information during a water contamination crisis in West Virginia. Twitter data has also helped in hurricane evacuations.

Twitter has also been an important way for people with disabilities to participate in public discourse.




Twitter’s real value has been in enabling people to connect with each other in real time and as an archive of collective behavior. Recognizing this, international organizations, government agencies and local governments have invested significant resources in using Twitter and have come to rely on the platform. Sen. Edward Markey has described Twitter as “essential” to American society. If Twitter were to collapse, there’s no clear replacement in sight.

Anjana Susarla is Professor of Information Systems at Michigan State University.


The Conversation arose out of deep-seated concerns for the fading quality of our public discourse and recognition of the vital role that academic experts could play in the public arena. Information has always been essential to democracy. It’s a societal good, like clean water. But many now find it difficult to put their trust in the media and experts who have spent years researching a topic. Instead, they listen to those who have the loudest voices. Those uninformed views are amplified by social media networks that reward those who spark outrage instead of insight or thoughtful discussion. The Conversation seeks to be part of the solution to this problem, to raise up the voices of true experts and to make their knowledge available to everyone. The Conversation publishes nightly at 9 p.m. on FlaglerLive.

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Reader Interactions

Comments

  1. Jimbo99 says

    November 19, 2022 at 1:22 am

    Those who sold off Twitter, one might think they would already have something in the works for a new social media platform. Parler started up in 2018. Those that are leaving Twitter (users & employees), how hard would it be to absorb the employees leaving Twitter for whatever reasons they are leaving their jobs. The advertisers ? How long would it take them to drop Twitter and advertise on a new platform. One might even think that content could be transferred. That could possibly make Twitter worthless to Musk ? For users, it would be as simple as creating their new social media platform accounts ? A reboot to do it their way or the right way. That’s the way Healthcare Insurance works, those in the industry work for the larger Healthplans, when their time is up there, they leave and start their own healthplan and that gets big enough to be sold off & another startup Healthplan emerges. Same people, different name, same unaffordable healthcare.

    Reply
    • The dude says

      November 21, 2022 at 5:20 am

      What?

      Is this meant to be word salad?

      Reply
  2. The dude says

    November 19, 2022 at 8:02 am

    Yeah… no.

    Twitter and all other Social Media platforms have destroyed decency as we knew it. Destroyed community as we knew it. Destroyed society as we knew it.

    The social media platforms went from a fun way to share picture of our kids, cats, and what we were having for dinner, to becoming that crazy fox news watching uncle who comes to Thanksgiving and screams about chemtrails and John Birch type conspiracy theories nonstop the entire time.

    They’ve turned us all into internets connected narcissist sociopaths thinking that the world needs to hear every inane thought that pops into our head, the instant it does in 180 words or less, 24/7. The boomers flooding onto the platforms made all of this worse, much much worse. As boomers are apt to do.

    Reply
  3. Herman says

    November 19, 2022 at 4:26 pm

    What demise of Twitter? If you mean the demise of the left using it as their propaganda machine while stifling opposing views and facts they do not agree with then Amen…. But now it is being fair and allowing opposing views and stopping the silencing of facts. All is as it should be.

    Reply
    • The dude says

      November 21, 2022 at 5:18 am

      None of that is actually happening.

      Maybe MAGAs “views” need to be based on the truth and not utterly bereft of any facts or logic? Try some of that and see if you get “censored” anywhere.

      Let us know how it works out.

      Reply
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