The numbers are indisputable, if also aided by the year of lockdowns: Flagler County’s crime rate in 2020 fell for the 11th straight year, though it’s never fallen as sharply as it has in the last three, when it fell by half since 2017. The crime rate in 2020 in the county was a third what it was in 2007, when it hit a modern-day peak.
In 2020, Flagler had the fourth-lowest crime rate in the state for counties of 100,000 or more people, bested only by St. Johns, Santa Rosa and Sumter counties. Six other counties had lower crime rates–Union, Jackson, Jefferson, Liberty, Glades and Gadsden–but the average population of those six counties is 18,000.
Compared to where it is today, the crime rate was high when Don Fleming took over as sheriff in 2005, it rose for three years, then began a steady, slow decline, flattening out somewhat during Jim Manfre’s latter four years, before taking a dive in Rick Staly’s first four years. He was reelected last fall with 70 percent of the vote, by far the highest margin for any sheriff in at least a quarter century, and largely on the strength of the falling crime rate. The rate reflects crime numbers across the county, including Flagler Beach and Bunnell, which have their own police departments. Palm Coast contracts with the sheriff for additional policing in Palm Coast. The sheriff patrols Beverly Beach and Marineland as part of its county responsibilities.
“The numbers show that countywide law enforcement is working together, working hard, and working smart,” Flagler Beach Police Chief Matt Doughney said.
“I’m very proud of our team,” Staly said. “We have a motivated team that really engages and delivers for the community, and it’s a combination of getting the community engaged with the Sheriff’s Office and the technology we have implemented, along with the Real-Time Crime Center. I don’t think you can say it’s one particular thing we’ve done. I think it’s a combination of putting all these things together and it’s showing the positive results.”
The Florida Department of Law Enforcement issued the annual report of crime in Florida on Monday, showing crime down for the 50th straight year–it has fallen every year since 1971, when Richard Nixon was at the end of his first term and Reubin Askew was at the beginning of his two terms (which, unlike Nixon, he completed). Crime statewide dropped 14.1 percent, so Flagler was able to beat the state’s decline by a few percentage points. But violent crime in the state rose by 2.3 percent because of increases in murders and aggravated assaults even as other violent crimes–rape, robbery–and non-violent crimes were down.
Flagler saw no murders in 2020 (there were three the year before), though one man, Jevante Hamilton, was indicted on first-degree murder more than a year after the fact in the death by heroin overdose of Timothy J. Davidson. There were 32 reported rapes in the county, down from 38 and 10 robberies. But aggravated assaults saw a 35 percent increase–from 156 to 210, or more than one every other day.
The Sheriff’s Office analyzed the numbers to understand where and why that was happening. “Those increases were in two areas,” Staly said, “domestic violence, so instead of using a fist they were grabbing weapons, which turns it into an aggravated domestic assault. They’re grabbing the kitchen knife or gun and threatening the significant other with it. The other place we analyzed it is road rage.” Staly, referring to reports he gets from sheriff’s and other law enforcement associations and organizations from around the country, said he sees the same trend reported everywhere.
“Roads rage, I think people are just angrier, and I think they’re angrier across the country,” he said. “We’re a divided nation, it’s pretty obvious, then we went through the pandemic.” Layoffs, lost hours, frustrations built up. “There’s just a lot of anger and we’re going to continue to see the repercussions of covid and the pandemic for a long time to come yet.”
The local spikes in any crime category provoke a targeted response. The Sheriff’s Office has been focusing messaging on social media about domestic violence and road rage, and a few months ago expanded its traffic patrols. Countering domestic violence had been–and continues to be–a sheriff’s priority. Numbers had been trending down for three years. They have gone back up last year. “Arrests for Domestic violence have increased, but we’re also seeing more anger that way in these types of calls, and we’re seeing a lot of violations of domestic violence inunctions, which had all been trending down,” the sheriff said. “I’m certainly not a psychiatrist or a psychologist, but I truly believe that we’re seeing the anger as a result of the pandemic and what this country has been through.”
Burglaries, on the other hand, are down nearly by half, which may be an indication of the more frequent presence of people in their homes. Larcenies were also down significantly, as were motor vehicle thefts, at least those in the county. The Sheriff’s Office’s increasing use of license-plate readers led to numerous arrests for stolen vehicles, but many of those thefts originate in neighboring counties. Flagler Beach is preparing to install its own set of license plate readers, which will be networked with the sheriff’s. Any time there’s a detection of a vehicle in one area of the county, all three local law enforcement agencies will know about it, though Doughney said the readers are not just about stolen cars. He said they are also used in silver or amber alerts, when people with dementia or children go missing.
While the sheriff’s office still accounts for the larger majority of policing in Flagler–2,169 arrests out of the total of 2,539 last year, 85 percent–the highest arrest rate continues to be in Bunnell, a city of some 3,500. There were 154 arrests there in 2020, yielding an arrest rate of 4,391 per 100,000, more than twice that of the county and almost twice that of Miami-Dade. Flagler Beach had 119 arrests. The Florida Highway Patrol and Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission had 97 arrests between them, all of them adults. Juvenile arrests overall were also significantly down in the county, to 103, from 155 the year before, a reflection of the abbreviated school year and the greater level of parental supervision of children necessitated by the pandemic. The complete state, county and city data reports are available here.
Flagler County Crime and Crime Rates, 2000-2020
Year (Sheriff) | Pop.* | Total Crime Index | Index % y-o-y change | Mur- der | Rape | Rob- bery | Aggra- vated Asslt | Bur- glary | Lar- ceny | Vehicle Theft | Crime Rate per 100,000 | % Cleared |
2020 (Staly) | 114,235 | 1,139 | -17.4 | 0 | 32 | 10 | 2010 | 99 | 725 | 63 | 997 | 39.0 |
2019 (Staly) | 110,695 | 1,379 | -17.0 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 156 | 181 | 898 | 92 | 1,245 | 32.6 |
2018 (Staly) | 107,571 | 1,662 | -20.2 | 3 | 29 | 12 | 197 | 203 | 1,145 | 73 | 1,545 | 32.6 |
2017 (Staly) | 105,217 | 2,082 | -1.0 | 5 | 23 | 32 | 204 | 287 | 1,425 | 106 | 1,978 | 24.9 |
2016 (Manfre) | 103,155 | 2,102 | +1.4% | 0 | 20 | 32 | 206 | 334 | 1,405 | 105 | 2,037 | 22.9 |
2015 (Manfre) | 101,413 | 2,072 | +1.7 | 2 | 23 | 26 | 231 | 375 | 1,324 | 109 | 2,060.9 | 25.3 |
2014 (Manfre) | 99,121 | 2,055 | -6.2 | 0 | 14 | 32 | 204 | 330 | 1,399 | 76 | 2073.2 | 30.3 |
2013 (Manfre) | 97,483 | 2,190 | -0.5 | 3 | 22 | 57 | 206 | 476 | 1,343 | 83 | 2238.3 | 27.7 |
2012 (Fleming) | 97,220 | 2,200 | -7.4 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 210 | 436 | 1,433 | 74 | 2,262.9 | 29.3 |
2011 (Fleming) | 96,241 | 2,376 | -4.2 | 1 | 19 | 37 | 254 | 505 | 1,485 | 75 | 2,468.8 | 29.3 |
2010 (Fleming) | 94,984 | 2,480 | -4.2 | 0 | 16 | 36 | 177 | 556 | 1,591 | 104 | 2,611.0 | 24.2 |
2009 (Fleming) | 94,977 | 2,588 | +5.3 | 3 | 22 | 48 | 223 | 592 | 1,590 | 110 | 2,724.9 | 26.1 |
2008 (Fleming) | 95,588 | 2,458 | -9.8 | 0 | 14 | 56 | 203 | 540 | 1,510 | 135 | 2,571.5 | 22.9 |
2007 (Fleming) | 93,644 | 2,724 | +18.6 | 4 | 18 | 54 | 212 | 609 | 1,660 | 167 | 2,908.9 | 21.6 |
2006 (Fleming) | 89,151 | 2,296 | +15.7 | 4 | 12 | 37 | 180 | 502 | 1,391 | 170 | 2,575.4 | 21.2 |
2005 (Fleming) | 78,693 | 1,984 | +21.8 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 243 | 395 | 1,153 | 135 | 2,521.2 | 26.5 |
2004 (Manfre) | 69,759 | 1,629 | +5.1 | 0 | 12 | 19 | 167 | 347 | 982 | 102 | 2,335.2 | 30.2 |
2003 (Manfre) | 61,617 | 1,550 | +14.2 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 169 | 353 | 906 | 83 | 2,515.5 | 26.1 |
2002 (Manfre) | 56,861 | 1,357 | -2.2 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 165 | 365 | 722 | 71 | 2,386.5 | 35.4 |
2001 (Manfre) | 53,137 | 1,388 | -0.4 | 1 | 19 | 27 | 130 | 348 | 786 | 77 | 2,612.1 | 27.7 |
2000 (McCarthy) | 49,908 | 1,394 | +18.9 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 112 | 363 | 806 | 75 | 2,793.1 | 26.8 |
Note: The crime figures listed in the table represent the incidence of reported crime in the entire county, including Bunnell and Flagler Beach, not just crime reported to or by the Flagler County Sheriff's Office. Note, too, that reported crime is always lower than actual crime levels, as all crimes are not reported.
(*)The population figure is based on the total provided by FDLE, which differs from that of the U.S. Census Bureau. The latter places the county's total population at 105,392.
Carol Caso says
Our Sheriff, Rick Staley is the BEST!! He’s not afraid of the bad guys & does his best to keep our city safe.
Thank you Sheriff Staley.
Carol Caso
Trailer Bob says
I have seen the deputies in action quite a bit, and they do an awesome job.
It all starts at the top. Thank you Sheriff Staley and your team of officers.
R. S. says
I’d be less inclined to give the sheriff full credit for the decline in crime; I’d like to see economic factors, employment opportunities, and–Yes!–the unusual patterns imposed by the pandemic in relation to crime statistics. I’d be much more inclined to measure the sheriff’s effectiveness in terms of the rate of recidivism and the effective return of imprisoned citizens to becoming productive and well integrated citizens. Giving the sheriff full credit may not amount to more than a false-cause fallacy.
Outsider says
And I would be more inclined to rate the sheriff on RESULTS. With the exception of aggravated assault (and even that stat increased based on new reporting methodology of domestic violence incidents) the crime rate is decreasing. Employment opportunities are abundant right now; if you cant find a job it’s because you don’t want one. I don’t expect the sheriff to reverse a lifetime of bad behavior with a few yoga classes in the county jail. I’ll leave the reforming of a lifetime offender to people who care why Johnny killed his mother; I just want Johnny off the street forever.
MikeM says
Keep up the good work Sheriff Staley. You have my vote.
Gina Weiss says
Thank you Sheriff Staley and your dedicated deputies and staff for keeping us safe. Thank all for your service.
K. Schure says
Sheriff Staley is the best. He has my vote.
Lance Carroll says
As I read this article and review the statistics within the graph, I surmise that there is an increase of violent crimes in Flagler County. Flaglerlive, am I correct in my reading of the information as to the increase in violent crimes committed/reported in Flagler County? In addition, Flaglerlive, the overwhelming number of arrests in Bunnell…how many of those arrests were for violent crimes and what is the racial breakdown of arrestees within city limits of Bunnell as per the graph displayed in this article? What area/town/ jurisdiction had the highest number of violent crimes iwithin Flagler County? Please answer with documentation included?
Respectfully,
Lance Carroll
FlaglerLive says
The increase in violent crime across the county was in the aggravated assault category. All the documentation, except for the racial breakdown, is accessible through the link at the end of the article.
Trailer Bob says
I believe the “overwhelming number of arrests” are in Palm Coast.
Steve says
FCSO equates to the best Agency going for Flagler County at this time IMO. If you could turn the local Government bodies around a bit like Gender, Race, Diversity, new Officials instead of same old it would go a long way. Staleys strength is that He listens and takes action and uses new Technology. See something Say something.
Laila says
Thank you, Sheriff Staly and team!