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Support for Democracy Is Waning Across the Americas

March 8, 2022 | FlaglerLive | 4 Comments

Armed Salvadoran soldiers, following presidential orders, surrounded lawmakers in 2020.
Armed Salvadoran soldiers, following presidential orders, surrounded lawmakers in 2020.
AP Photo/Salvador Melendez

By Elizabeth J. Zechmeister and Noam Lupu

People are losing faith in democracy throughout the Western Hemisphere.




Across North, Central and South America, and parts of the Caribbean, only 63% of the public expressed support for democracy in 2021. This is a main takeaway from the most recent AmericasBarometer surveys we have conducted every other year: Support for democracy has declined by almost 10 percentage points since 2004.

The 2021 round – which encompassed 64,352 interviews of voting-age adults in nationally representative surveys across 22 countries in North, Central and South America and the Caribbean – offers important insights into what’s driving declining support for democracy in the region.

And it points to a possible explanation for the growth of support for authoritarian leadership in places like the United States, Peru and El Salvador.

Distrust in electoral politics

This waning support for democracy, which has parallels in other parts of the world, is alarming. Research has shown that mass support for democracy increases its odds of survival.

What is eroding democracy’s appeal?

A growing number of people view their elections, and their elected representatives, as flawed and untrustworthy.




On average, about 3 in 5 adults in the region think most or all politicians are involved in corruption. These views, however, vary quite a bit across countries. In Peru, 88% of citizens believe that most or all of their politicians are corrupt. Only 20% of Canadians feel that way about their leaders.

When asked to what extent they trust elections in their country, only 2 in 5 adults in the region gave a positive response. And in most of the countries we survey, less than half of all adults believe that votes are always counted correctly.

Cynicism on the rise

Across the Americas, the public is becoming increasingly disenchanted with elections and elected representatives, our surveys indicate.

These attitudes are correlated with declining support for democracy: The more cynical people are about the integrity of their elections and elected representatives, the less likely they are to support democracy.

In many cases, such negative views of electoral politics are justified.

Waves of high-profile corruption scandals rocked the Americas in recent years. The Panama Papers, a trove of financial documents leaked in 2015, revealed that politicians across the region had been evading taxes through secretive offshore accounts.

In late 2016, Brazilian construction company Odebrecht admitted that it had spent hundreds of millions of dollars bribing public officials across the region to secure public contracts.

There have also been scandals related to the COVID-19 pandemic, including politicians misusing emergency funds or accessing vaccines before the general public.

Former presidents are jailed or under investigation in more than half of the large democracies in the Western Hemisphere, including Argentina, Bolivia, Guatemala and Peru.

Elections have become deeply contentious. Sometimes this is because of misinformation campaigns, as in Peru in 2021 and the United States in 2016 and 2020. At other times, conflict arises because of actual mismanagement – and possible fraud – as was the case in Bolivia in 2019.




The experiences of the recent past have made people in the Americas cynical about electoral democracy.

A Peruvian protest with a banner that called for closing that country's congress.
Supporters of President Pedro Castillo protested the Peruvian Congress in 2021 after lawmakers sought his impeachment.
Carlos Garcia Granthon/Fotoholica Press/LightRocket via Getty Images

Free expression is a priority

This cynicisim does not mean the region is ready to give up on democracy altogether.

When the 2021 AmericasBarometer asked people in the region to consider whether they would rather have a political system with elected representatives or one that guaranteed a minimum standard of living without elections, 54% chose the latter.

But when they were asked to choose between a guaranteed standard of living and a system that protects freedom of expression, 74% would rather be able to speak freely without fear of repercussions.

The difference in these responses indicates that most people in the Americas want their voices heard, but they don’t think most of their elected representatives are listening.

Instead, they’re increasingly turning toward charismatic populists to channel their voices against experienced politicians they believe to be corrupt.

People who believed that Donald Trump should stay in the White House swarmed the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021.
AP Photo/John Minchillo

Being open to closing Congress

Our survey asks people if they would find it justifiable for a president to shut down their national legislature in difficult times – a kind of coup known in Spanish as an autogolpe.

Support in the Americas for this extremely antidemocratic action has increased substantially, to 30%. That’s more than double levels seen in 2010.

In early 2019, our survey detected a significant increase in tolerance for shutting down the Congress in Peru. In late 2019, Peruvian President Martín Vizcarra did exactly that.




That same year, we detected a similar uptick in the United States – driven by an unprecedented 21-percentage-point increase among Republicans. Less than two years later, on Jan. 6, 2021, hundreds of Trump supporters attacked the U.S. Capitol.

Meanwhile, the public in El Salvador similarly became more tolerant of executive closure of that country’s Congress amid high public support for President Nayib Bukele. He has ordered security forces to intimidate the legislature and has centralized power in the executive office.

More confidence needed

Modern democracies are supposed to translate the people’s voice into politics through elected representatives.

But across the Americas the public is losing faith in that system. A growing number of eligible voters prefer to see people whom they consider to be strong leaders run the government – even if that means skipping elections or overturning their results.

In our view, unless citizens everywhere from Alaska to Argentina regain confidence in the integrity of their elections and representative institutions, democracy across the Americas will remain endangered.

Elizabeth J. Zechmeister is Cornelius Vanderbilt Professor of Political Science and Director of LAPOP at Vanderbilt University. Noam Lupu is Associate Professor of Political Science and Associate Director of LAPOP Lab, Vanderbilt University.

The Conversation arose out of deep-seated concerns for the fading quality of our public discourse and recognition of the vital role that academic experts could play in the public arena. Information has always been essential to democracy. It’s a societal good, like clean water. But many now find it difficult to put their trust in the media and experts who have spent years researching a topic. Instead, they listen to those who have the loudest voices. Those uninformed views are amplified by social media networks that reward those who spark outrage instead of insight or thoughtful discussion. The Conversation seeks to be part of the solution to this problem, to raise up the voices of true experts and to make their knowledge available to everyone. The Conversation publishes nightly at 9 p.m. on FlaglerLive.
See the Full Conversation Archives
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Reader Interactions

Comments

  1. Joann Soman says

    March 9, 2022 at 7:08 am

    This is terrifying. For all those who are losing faith in democracy, please read “I Must Betray You” by Ruta Sepetys. It’s a real wake up call.

  2. erobot says

    March 9, 2022 at 7:12 am

    Americans don’t support democracy which is just another word for mob rule. Our ff’s were too smart for that. We are a constitutional republic which means we follow the law not the latest lefty fantasy.

  3. NotWoke says

    March 9, 2022 at 7:31 pm

    From the whitehousewire;

    “As Ukrainians valiantly fight to defend their nation against a Russian invasion, a Quinnipiac University national poll of U.S. adults asked people whether they would fight or flee if they faced that situation — the poll found that while a whopping 68% Republicans said they would remain and fight, just 40% of Democrats said they would stick around and fight. Among independents, 57% said they would stay and fight”.

  4. Sherry says

    March 11, 2022 at 6:19 pm

    Here is what is really going on with some trump Republicans. . . yet another ridiculous conspiracy theory gone wild. . . this from the AP:

    Russia’s baseless claims about secret American biological warfare labs in Ukraine are taking root in the U.S. too, uniting COVID-19 conspiracy theorists, QAnon adherents and some supporters of ex-President Donald Trump.

    Despite rebuttals from independent scientists, Ukrainian leaders and officials at the White House and Pentagon, the online popularity of the claims suggests some Americans are willing to trust Kremlin propaganda over the U.S. media and government.

    Like any effective conspiracy theory, the Russian claim relies on some truths: Ukraine does maintain a network of biological labs dedicated to research into pathogens, and those labs have received funding and research support from the U.S.

    But the labs are owned and operated by Ukraine, and the work is not secret. It’s part of an initiative called the Biological Threat Reduction Program that aims to reduce the likelihood of deadly outbreaks, whether natural or manmade. The U.S. efforts date back to work in the 1990s to dismantle the former Soviet Union’s program for weapons of mass destruction.

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