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Violent Crime Is at Its Lowest in More than a Century. The Money that Helped Reduce It Is Disappearing

June 23, 2026 | FlaglerLive | 2 Comments

Former Flagler County Sheriff Crime Scene Investigator Daniel Wardman shows the jury the firearm, a BDA 380 semi-automatic pistol, that Brennan Hill hid after shooting Savannah Gonzalez in his car in March 2021. Hill is on trial for second degree murder. His attorney says the shooting was accidental. (© FlaglerLive)
Former Flagler County Sheriff Crime Scene Investigator Daniel Wardman shows the jury a firearm used in a local homicide. (© FlaglerLive)

By Andrea Hagan

The United States is experiencing one of the steepest declines in violent crime in modern history, including a murder rate at its lowest point in more than a century.

Homicides across 35 major American cities fell 21% in 2025, amounting to 922 fewer people killed. Robberies dropped 23%. Gun assaults declined 22%. Carjackings plummeted 43%.

Yet the Trump administration has yanked hundreds of millions of dollars from the programs that helped make those numbers possible.

As a scholar focused on how policy decisions and structural conditions shape crime in marginalized communities, I see a pattern forming that could put these historic gains at serious risk.

‘Wasteful grants’

In April 2025, the Department of Justice terminated 365 previously awarded grants. About US$500 million in promised funds evaporated, affecting more than 550 organizations across 48 states.

The cuts stretched across the public safety landscape: community violence intervention, victim services, law enforcement training, juvenile justice, offender reentry and criminal justice research.

Then-Attorney General Pam Bondi described the cancellations as eliminating “wasteful grants.” The White House argued that the grant programs had been “funding DEI and cultural Marxism” rather than helping to keep Americans safe.

The DOJ’s fiscal year 2026 budget proposal reduces the pool of funds for public safety and justice programs by an additional $850 million – about a 15% decrease from the prior year.

A prison cell is seen with it door partly open.
A law supporting ex-inmates with temporary housing and healthcare lost $40 million in funding.
Edwin Remsberg/Getty Images

Bipartisan programs

On the ground, the effects of the cancellations were immediate.

Initiatives implementing a federal law to support ex-inmates with temporary housing, job training and healthcare lost $40 million in funding, according to the Brennan Center for Justice at New York Unversity.

Many of the terminated programs had deep bipartisan roots.

Project Safe Neighborhoods, a crime-reduction initiative launched in 2001 under President George W. Bush, lost its training funds, the Council on Criminal Justice found. Also axed was an anti-terrorism program that had trained more than 430,000 state and local law enforcement officers and other partners since 1996.

More modest programs were targeted as well.

In rural Oregon, a DOJ grant had allowed the Union County district attorney to hire an investigator who, after a few years of probing a 43-year-old cold case involving the killing of a 21-year-old woman, finally developed some leads. When the money was cut, the investigation stopped.

Funding cliffs

The funding cuts couldn’t have come at a worse time. States and local jurisdictions were already facing looming cuts, as billions of dollars provided by President Joe Biden’s COVID recovery plan run out on Dec. 31, 2026.

Many local governments had used that money to build violence prevention programs from the ground up: employing community-based mediators, launching youth employment initiatives and expanding behavioral health teams.

And now? A double funding cliff with the sudden cancellation of DOJ grants, paired with the expiration of COVID recovery money.

In Chicago, this cliff has already forced a 43% cut to the city’s domestic violence prevention budget for 2026 – even as its share of domestic-related homicides rose 13% over the previous year.

Larger and more targeted

Criminology research helps explain the particular risks of abrupt disinvestment. Emory sociology professor Robert Agnew’s General Strain Theory identifies a direct relationship between increased strain – economic pressure, blocked opportunities, the withdrawal of institutional support – and higher risks of criminal behavior.

Flashing red and blue lights are seen on a police car at night.
Researchers warn that cuts to violence prevention programs are likely to lead to increases in gun crime.
Jeremy Hogan/Getty Images

Historical precedent reinforces the concern. In 2013, federal across-the-board spending cuts eliminated services for more than 955,000 crime victims in a single year. The capacity of the FBI and related agencies was slashed by the equivalent of more than 1,000 agents.

Between 2014 and 2016, the violent crime rate climbed 7%.

The 2025 cuts are substantially larger and more targeted, and have devastated some groups.

Equal Justice USA, a national organization working to end the death penalty and reduce violence through community-based interventions, shut down in August 2025 after losing more than $3 million in DOJ grants.

Local programs like Baltimore’s LifeBridge Health’s Center for Hope lost $1.2 million to provide therapy for gun violence survivors.

“What shocked me the most … was what feels like the utter cruelty of it,” said Adam Rosenberg, who runs the center, referring to the cancellation of the funds.

As of April 2026, the DOJ has not paid out $200 million in approved grants to assist victims of domestic violence, sexual assault and human trafficking.

This comes after the department last year allowed more than 100 grants for human trafficking survivors to expire, affecting more than 5,000 victims, despite Congress allocating $88 million for these services.

Researchers at the University of Pennsylvania warn that cuts to violence prevention programs are likely to lead to increases in gun crime.

What happens next

The initiatives now losing funding are the ones that helped drive crime down in many American cities.

Community members trained in conflict mediation help extinguish tensions before they turn lethal. Youth programs provide alternatives to street economies. Forensic labs process the evidence that solves cases. Reentry programs keep people from cycling back through the system. With each serving a distinct function, together they form the infrastructure of public safety.

As funding for crime prevention from two main sources runs out, whether progress continues depends on what happens next.

Andrea Hagan is Instructor of Criminology and Justice at Loyola University New Orleans.

The Conversation arose out of deep-seated concerns for the fading quality of our public discourse and recognition of the vital role that academic experts could play in the public arena. Information has always been essential to democracy. It’s a societal good, like clean water. But many now find it difficult to put their trust in the media and experts who have spent years researching a topic. Instead, they listen to those who have the loudest voices. Those uninformed views are amplified by social media networks that reward those who spark outrage instead of insight or thoughtful discussion. The Conversation seeks to be part of the solution to this problem, to raise up the voices of true experts and to make their knowledge available to everyone. The Conversation publishes nightly at 9 p.m. on FlaglerLive.
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Reader Interactions

Comments

  1. Atwp says

    June 24, 2026 at 5:59 am

    If I believe the story I should also believe all of Florida will have at least 6 inches of snow on the ground on Christmas Day, 2026. A major Blizzard January of 2027. The stats sound good but Donald Trump is the president. I don’t believe the story.

    1
    Reply
  2. Skibum says

    June 24, 2026 at 12:14 pm

    This is a terrible back slide that will have the result of making communities all across America less safe. Many of the programs that this type of funding created and supported were innovative policing strategies that partnered with other governmental agencies and non-governmental community resources specific to whatever local community issues were needed to address crime related problems. These dollars were certainly NOT “wasteful” spending!

    For all of the bluster and lies about democrats and/or liberals wanting to “defund” the police, most sane people realized that the goal was never to get rid of policing but to channel some of the funding to other resources that could better handle or partner with law enforcement because of the plain fact that law enforcement agencies all over the U.S. have for decades been pushed harder to deal with things that officers aren’t trained to deal with and their equipment and resources were never designed for.

    One specific example of this is the huge problem of people in our society who have severe mental health issues. Many of these individuals have violent tendencies, prompting law enforcement to be called. There are federal and state grants that have allowed funding resources so that mental health specialists work closely with law enforcement, riding along or arriving at scenes simultaneously when a call for service identifies a suspected mental health issue. This happens more often than most people realize. It could be associated with a domestic violence call, an attempted suicide, an unruly juvenile, etc.

    People must remember that decades ago, we had many long-term mental health facilities where those who were charged with a crime but were deemed to be mentally ill could be confined and treated in a safe environment so that the public could be protected from them. It was Ronald Reagan who is responsible for closing our nation’s mental wards and having more and more people with mental problems be placed in local jails and state prisons where they never should have had to be put in the first place.

    There are a whole host of other examples of partnerships with law enforcement agencies that came about because of the federal grants that the idiot in the WH and his maga mush brains are cancelling now. What could possibly go wrong? Everything, is the correct answer. They would rather funnel critical funding away from local communities and give it away instead to billionaires and corporations, or direct it toward more military industrial complex spending for more wrongheaded military adventurism across the world, in direct opposition to the needs of the American people and the specific requests of communities in every state who rely on the support of the federal government for programs and resources that local governments cannot afford alone.

    This take back makes no sense, but is perfectly in line with most everything else right now coming out of the WH that makes no sense either. We must vote these irresponsible maga republi-cons OUT of office for the good of the country!

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