Like most communities across the country, Flagler County this week shattered its weekly covid-infection total, with 1,469, exceeding last week’s record of 1,166, though emergency-care clinics’ numbers suggest that the region is near or at its peak of this latest wave, driven mostly by the astonishingly infectious but less lethal omicron variant.
If delta packed the power of an assault weapon for those it gravely infected, omicron is closer to a small-caliber handgun, with vaccines and boosters continuing not so much to prevent infection as to substantially limit its virulence. Still, local, state and national numbers are sobering. Omicron’s math is such that while chances of grave infection or death are much lower than its predecessors (53 percent lower, compared to delta), the advantage is diminished at least to some extent because two or three times as many people are getting infected.
On Thursday, there were 34 people hospitalized on a primary diagnosis of Covid at AdventHealth Palm Coast. Today, the number had risen to 38. Just two were in the intensive care unit, according to the Flagler Health Department’s Gretchen Smith. At Flagler Hospital in St. Augustine, 52 patients were admitted on a primary diagnosis of Covid as of this morning, 10 of them in ICU, four on ventilators. A week ago, the hospital had 33 patients, 2 in intensive care and two on ventilators. If the region has peaked, it is not yet apparent in the hospital numbers, which always lag infection numbers in the community.
Flagler County has also recorded three more deaths from Covid in the past week, for a total of 288.
AdventHealth Centra Care’s daily Covid positivity rates, a predicter of future hospitalizations, has slightly declined over the last several days and is now around 38 percent, Neil Finkler, AdventHealth Central Florida Division’s Chief Clinical Office, wrote staff in an internal email on Thursday. “While this indicates we may have peaked, our experience from previous waves leads us to anticipate another week or so of increasing hospitalizations within the AdventHealth Central Florida Division.”
The Flagler County school district had seen its covid-positive numbers dwindle to one, two or three cases per week just before Christmas. The numbers surged after New Year’s. On Thursday alone, 23 cases were reported among students district-wide, and three among staffers. A week ago, on Jan. 7, 16 cases were reported among students and six among staffers.
Quarantine rules are again confusing parents and students, for good reason: the rules are contradictory. The Flagler County school district is not following Centers for Disease Control guidelines, but a blend of CDC guidelines and state rules, which forbid mask mandates, whereas the CDC assumes masking is not an issue.
Take the case of Anne Johnson. Her granddaughter is an A student at one of the local high schools. She tested positive for Covid a week ago, though she was not symptomatic, and has not been symptomatic. She was seen by a physician at CentraCare. The physician told her she had to quarantine at home for five days, but that she could go back to school next week, and wear a mask for five days. Today, Johnson got a call from the Flagler County Health Department telling her that no, her granddaughter may not go back to school for 10 days. She told the Health Department caller that that was not the guidelines she’d received from her doctor. The Health Department told her she had to follow school rules.
The Health Department was not entirely correct. True, the 10-day quarantine is in effect, at variance with CDC allowances, because students can’t be told to wear a mask if they return after five days, District spokesman Jason Wheeler said. However, students may return after five days if they have a doctor’s note, clearing them to return. If the doctor says the student must wear a mask, that’s between the doctor and the student, and the district may not interfere (and may certainly not make an issue of the student wearing a mask, as even a school board member tried to do at a recent SAT testing site). Johnson’s granddaughter has a doctor’s note clearing her to return next week.
The district’s Covid quarantine protocols are outlined in a visual “decision tree” issued last fall, and still in effect now:
Even AdventHealth’s hospitals are not mandating mask-weari8ng in all its facilities in central Florida. “Our current SOP provides guidance that aligns with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) guidance and the Occupational Safety and Health Administration’s (OSHA) recent emergency temporary standards (ETS). AdventHealth supplied surgical masks, when worn properly, provide adequate protection against the spread of the virus,” the company states.
The local hospital continues to urge residents not to go to the emergency room to get tested. The Flagler County Health Department has continued testing five days a week from 8 a.m. to noon at the Flagler County Airport. Testing is by appointment only, though Smith, the department’s spokesperson, said on Thursday 60 of the people who made an appointment did not show up. The slots were filled anyway. Some 700 people had been tested as of Thursday this week, with an additional 150 expected today.
Nationally, the number of hospitalized patients also doubled in three weeks, hitting an all-time high of over 132,000 people. The previous record was a year ago, when the number peaked at 132,051. Reuters reports that Delaware, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Missouri, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, Vermont, Virginia, Washington D.C., and Wisconsin have all reported record levels of hospitalized Covid patients.
Today, according to data posted by the federal government, Florida’s hospitalizations on covid diagnoses exceeded 11,500, up from 8,914 a week ago, with 1,451 Floridians in intensive care units, up from 1,015 a week ago. Last Monday, 1.35 million coronavirus infections were reported in a single day in the United States, by far the highest total in the world. But nationally, as in the state, there are strong indicators that case loads are beginning to decline. Experts have suggested that omicron’s decline may end up being as rapid as its surge.
Jim says
Anyone in the hospital with a flu diagnosis or did that just disappear?
raw says
Jim.
That is very strange isn’t. Have not heard of a flu case in over two years. Amazing eh?
Ray W. says
Raw and Jim present to FlaglerLive readers as commenters who are interested in drawing conclusions, however flawed, but not considering possible reasons why.
According to the CDC, a record 193.8 million flu vaccine doses were distributed during the 2020-21 flu season. While this does not mean that every dose of the vaccines was administered, it supports an argument that a record number of people were protected against the worst manifestations of the flu. Nonetheless, people became infected with the flu. Some died. Thankfully, the numbers were far less than expected.
Of course, recreational travel was low compared with previous years. Large numbers of people wore masks. People socially distanced from each other. Schools were often closed, so the inevitable annual spread of viruses to entire families after Christmas travel was not really inevitable anymore (I raised four children, so I have personally experienced the post-Christmas virus spread a number of times). A significant number of people lost their jobs. Another large group of people, mostly women, left their jobs to care for children and parents. People began working remotely (my son works as a rail dispatcher using specialized software that is not connected to the internet to protect against hacking, so he had to work in a large, compartmentalized building with hundreds of employees. My oldest daughter presented to upper management at Mitsubishi’s heavy power division a plan to shift to remote working some 18 months before the pandemic began; her company easily shifted to partially remote working, and she worked from her home three days per week). Onsite restaurant dining shifted to delivery and carryout. People washed hands (remember the shortage of disinfecting hand soaps?) All of the above is proof that vaccines, masking, social distancing, handwashing, etc. actually limits and sometimes stops the spread of viruses. Oy, vey!
Sometimes, the obvious is right in front of people like Raw and Jim and they just fall that critical bit short on personal effort to figure out the answer. The exercise of a little intellectual rigor might help each of them in the future.
While the posed question is valid on its face, the implied answer was seriously flawed in concept. Since a bad answer must give way to a less bad answer, and a good answer must give way to a better answer, Raw and Jim present as commenters with an implied bad answer to the posed question. Validity, after all, only allows one to enter an argument; it never wins on its own, because it needs something to support the initially valid position. Raw and Jim provided nothing to support their posed question. I encourage anyone to provide a good answer, any good answer, to their posed question. Perhaps, the commenter’s good answer will be better than my answer. Perhaps, Raw and Jim might even try to post a good answer!
Rob says
Joe had a plan to defeat covid and now caves that there is no federal solution? Pathetic administration that keeps on falling or just an administration that is always wrong?
Ray says
I wonder why? most people are not wearing a mask.
Local says
How would you know the covid peak is in sight? Proof this covid is purposly being used against us?
Steve says
Plenty of vaccines around and monoclonal Treatments. You can lead them to water…..
April says
So much for Biden ending Covid-19. It’s worse under Biden, as is inflation, illegal immigration, crime, division within the country…
Christopher Todd Lemke says
Glaad to see the pretty red graphs back on the front page. The vaxxed spreaders are doing an effective job. Do minorities wear the masks because they are afraid if they disobey they will lose their free goodies? I wish I knew the answer to that one.