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Weather: Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs around 90. Chance of rain 50 percent. Monday Night: Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Cooler with lows in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 80 percent.
- Daily weather briefing from the National Weather Service in Jacksonville here.
- Drought conditions here. (What is the Keetch-Byram drought index?).
- Check today’s tides in Daytona Beach (a few minutes off from Flagler Beach) here.
- Tropical cyclone activity here, and even more details here.
Today at a Glance:
The Flagler County Commission meets at 9 a.m. at the Government Services Building, 1769 E. Moody Boulevard, Building 2, Bunnell. Access meeting agendas and materials here. The five county commissioners and their email addresses are listed here. Meetings stream live on the Flagler County YouTube page.
Palm Coast Council and County Commission Joint Workshop on Sports Complex: The two local governments discuss a planned $110 million sports complex to be built in Palm Coast in a private-public partnership. The meeting is at 1 p.m. at the Government Services Building, 1769 East Moody Boulevard, Bunnell. See the agenda here.
The Beverly Beach Town Commission meets at 6 p.m. at the meeting hall building behind the Town Hall, 2735 North Oceanshore Boulevard (State Road A1A) in Beverly Beach. See meeting announcements here.
4-H and FFA Youth Livestock Show and Sale: The Flagler County Fair and Youth Show presents the 4-H and FFA Youth Livestock Showmanship competitions and auction. Monday April 7 @ 6 pm Pullet and Rabbit Competition Wednesday April 9 at 6 p.m., Steer, Heifer and Goat Competition. Thursday April 10 at 6 p.m., Swine Competition. Friday April 11 at 6 p.m., Livestock Auction.
Nar-Anon Family Groups offers hope and help for families and friends of addicts through a 12-step program, 6 p.m. at St. Mark by the Sea Lutheran Church, 303 Palm Coast Pkwy NE, Palm Coast, Fellowship Hall Entrance. See the website, www.nar-anon.org, or call (800) 477-6291. Find virtual meetings here.
Notably: How does one go about boycotting one’s own nation while still being of it, in it up to one’s not-yet-lynched neck? It was heartening to read of András Schiff, the great pianist, deciding no longer to hold concerts in the United States. He is also boycotting his native Hungary and Russia, though apparently not Israel. He cited Trump’s “unbelievable bullying” as cause. “He has brought an ugliness into this world which hadn’t been there,” Schiff said in a telephone interview with the New York Times from Hong Kong. “I just find it impossible to go along with what is happening.” He canceled appearances with the New York Philharmonic and the Philadelphia Orchestra, and a recital tour this fall, including a planned performance at Carnegie Hall. I wonder when was the last time he was in Florida.
—P.T.
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The Live Calendar is a compendium of local and regional political, civic and cultural events. You can input your own calendar events directly onto the site as you wish them to appear (pending approval of course). To include your event in the Live Calendar, please fill out this form.
June 2025
ESL Bible Studies for Intermediate and Advanced Students
Grace Community Food Pantry on Education Way
Palm Coast Farmers’ Market at European Village
Al-Anon Family Groups
Flagler County Commission Morning Meeting
In Court: Jayden Jackson Sentencing
Beverly Beach Town Commission meeting
Nar-Anon Family Group
For the full calendar, go here.
Great music is far greater than its performers. We try our entire lives to unveil its secrets and to convey its unique message. Even if we never quite reach the imaginary goal, our many performances give us experience and knowledge that was hidden from us years ago. We form a better understanding of its structure and inner workings, horizons broaden before our eyes. This was just as true of my second recording of the Goldberg Variations, recorded live at a Basle concert in 2003, as it was for the partitas I recorded during a recital in the Historic Riding Hall in Neumarkt, an exquisite little auditorium. with superb acoustics. To be sure, Bach never imagined performing all the partitas in a single concert. The object of his “Clavierübung” was, of course, to systematically summarize the forms and genres of his day. The work is designed to be at once encyclopaedic, scholarly, and instructive. Nonetheless, the six partitas form an ideal, if long, concert program. Bach’s music succeeds over and over again in forging an intimate bond between performer and audience. It would be simple and logical to play these exemplary suites in their conventional order, as I used to do in the past. Yet I always had the feeling that something was not quite right. The B-flat major Partita calls for great inner tranquility of the sort that never exists at the beginning of a public recital. Is it really mandatory to place it at the beginning? I think not. If we start with the G-major Partita, the keys of the six works form a hexachord: G-a-Bb-c-D-e, with the major and minor modes evenly distributed among the ascending pitches and the sunlit, graceful G-major work forming an ingratiating and appropriate opening. This sequence is my personal choice and raises no claims to universal truth. Listeners are invited to play the pieces in any order they prefer.
–From the liner notes to Andras Schiff’s recording of the 6 Bach partitas for ECM in 2009.
Pogo says
@Coming soon to the Kennedy Center
… Silent Spring.
This is the way the world ends
This is the way the world ends
This is the way the world ends
Not with a bang but a boom
— paraphrasing T.S. Eliot, The Hollow Men
https://www.google.com/search?q=T.S.+Eliot
Laurel says
As I write this right now, the Dow is down around 1,348 points. Three days in a row, it has tanked. Hold your breath and hope it turns around.
I would much, much rater have Biden’s soft landing and economy than the second worst dump since WWII. A “little pain” here.
Jim says
I want to hear from all the MAGA’s out there who have been writing to Flagler Live about how great Trump is and how bad Biden was and how Trump is “making America great again”. Please, please write in and tell all of us non-believers why Trump is right and almost every economist in the world is wrong about his tariffs. Please!
Trump is not playing “four dimensional chess”. He’s not even playing checkers. He’s basically putting a gun to the head of the economy and saying that a good hole through the center will make us all better (of course, he also says it might take a while…).
Biden’s team had steered this country to a smooth exit from inflation and Trump inherited an economy that was only going to go up. But, no, he’s the “tariff guy” so he’s doing his little “experiment” on all of our backs. So, JimboXYZ, Dennis C. Rathsman and all you others out there, you won’t admit it but a senile Biden looks a million times better than an imbecile Trump.
The unemployment rate at the end of March 2025 was 4.2%. Anyone want to guess which way that will be going?! Also, the highest unemployment rate in the USA was during the great depression at 25%. So we have a new goal for MAGA to reach so we can be no. 1 in that as well!!!!
And, out of curiosity, at a rate of 4.2%, when we import nothing and make everything here, who is going to fill those jobs? I guess the plan is to lay off enough government and private employees through DOGE and tariffs to fill those jobs! What a great plan!!! And do any of you think this is going to result in cheaper goods? Do you think car prices are going down when (if) it’s 100% made in the USA?? So, unless wages double or triple (sure), what’s the net benefit to the average American? Most people will be lucky to maintain the status quo as opposed to see their lives improve.
And for those of you who think we must be a manufacturing nation to survive in the world, right now (I should say last week) we had the number one economy in the world, the dollar is the agreed upon money for all exchange value and our stock market and main street are thriving. Wait a week, month or year and we can all see how much better off we all are after this clusterf—.
I know you MAGA clowns think this is all part of a “great plan” but you are so wrong it’s painful to watch. What part of this “great plan” included putting tariffs on uninhabited islands (Heard and McDonald islands) which goes to show the complex thought that went into the plan.
And, finally, Trump says tariffs will pay our tax bills. Well, question for all of you Trumpers…. If we make everything here and we don’t have imports, where’s the tariff money coming from? I guess you think enough countries will continue to import to us that it will take care of itself. Of course it will.
I recognize a train wreck when I see it; sad to say that a lot of you MAGA folks think you’re going to come out of this fine. And I guess when you’re going down, it’s better to have a positive viewpoint so good luck to you when we hit bottom.
Ray W, says
For an article titled “Oil Boss Says Trump Administration Better Have a Plan Amid Rout, a Bloomberg reporter reviewed a comment posted to X by Kaes Van’t Hof, current president and incoming CEO of Diamondback Energy Inc., through which Van’t Hof asked administration secretary Wright to explain how a global trade war will help American shale oil energy producers.
As an aside, according to the Bloomberg article, Diamondback, having just closed a $4.2 billion acquisition of Double Eagle’s oil resources, is now the biggest independent oil producer in what is known as the “oil patch” in the Permian Basin, spanning West Texas and East New Mexico.
Van’t Hof pointed out in his comment that over the past 10 years the American shale oil energy sector is “the only industry that actually built itself in the US, manufactures in the US, grew jobs in the US and improved the trade deficit (and by proxy GDP) in the US …”
According to the Bloomberg reporter, the Dallas branch of the Federal Reserve Bank conducted a survey of shale oil energy producers, which survey yielded an industry answer that the profit threshold for shale energy producers to invest in drilling new wells is $65 per barrel. Now that prices for WTI crude oil have dropped by 15% since last Thursday morning to near $60 per barrel, if the survey results are accurate, the more poorly positioned shale oil energy producers will be at a threshold of losing money on every barrel of oil they drill for in the future.
Make of this what you will.
Me?
If the Dallas Fed survey of American shale oil energy companies accurately assesses the breakeven oil price for profitability, we may be about to see a slowdown in drilling in the Permian shale patch.
I checked the weekly average national crude oil production figures that are easily found on the EIA site.
While the record weekly average production figure was set in late 2024 (13.631 million barrels per day), production figures have been steady at just under the record figure through the first 10 weeks since the Trump administration began its oversight of the oil production sector.
Given the survey results that indicate a belief in the American shale oil sector that extracting oil from American shale oil fields becomes unprofitable at prices below $65 per barrel, is it reasonable to argue then that American crude oil production may soon begin to decline?
And is it reasonable to argue that if worldwide demand for crude oil begins to drop as more and more national economies begin to slide into recession, then American crude oil production may soon begin to decline?
And is it reasonable to argue that if OPEC+ nations follow through with their plan to increase their bloc’s crude oil output by up to 400k barrels per day, and if Brazil continues to ramp up its level of crude oil production, and if Guyana continues to ramp up its level of crude oil production, and if Kazakhstan continues to ramp up its level of crude oil production, then American crude oil production figures may soon begin to decline?
In an interview earlier today, BlackRock CEO, Larry Fink, expressed his belief that most CEOs would say that America is already in the earliest stages of a recession, saying that the canary in the coal mine is sick.
Disgusted says
Do you put these anti Trump cartoons just to get a rise from people? You do realize people in this state do support him right?
Ray W, says
MarketWatch published an article derived from opinions by a number of economists that the American economy is beginning to slow down.
The focus of the article is on last week’s 10% minimum tariff on goods that began implementation on April 5th. Much higher country-specific tariffs become effective April 9th.
The reporter writes after speaking with Carl Weinberg, chief US economist for High Frequency Economics:
“Among economists, the impact of tariffs is well known: Prices will jump and spending will decline. Ultimately, the tariffs are a tax that will be paid out of household incomes and corporate profits. The Trump tariff plan ‘is the largest one-day tax hike in history,'”
Since I have been commenting for about two years now that the Fed’s repeated increases of its lending rates were intended to slow an overheating economy, I suppose it is to be expected that an economic slowdown might be coming.
Last week’s strong paychecks added number, being consistent with last year’s Biden paychecks added numbers, can one argue that, at least for now, the jobs market remains strong?
Nonetheless, here are some comments by economists:
– Goldman Sachs economist Alec Phillips says:
“The combination of larger tariffs, greater policy uncertainty, declining business and consumer confidence, and messaging from the administration indicating greater willingness to tolerate near-term economic weakness in pursuit of its policies increase downside risk.”
Phillips lowered his 2025 GDP forecast from 1% to 0.5%, and he raised his 12-month recession probability from 35% a week ago to 45% now. In normal times, per the reporter, recession odds are 15%.
– JPMorgan US chief economist Michael Feroli forecasts the US economy slipping into recession in June, with the weakest months occurring mid-year. He expects that a “drag” on investment spending will take time to “materialize.”
– The economist cited near the beginning of my comment, Carl Weinberg, thinks the downturn toward recession has begun; he predicts a negative 4.5% GDP figure in the second quarter of this year, and a reduced expectation of first quarter GDP growth of 2.0%. “The economy is headed for a sharp downturn. Layoffs will surge,” he says.
Weinberg defines Trump’s tariff plan as the “Trump Job Destruction Order.”
Make of this what you will.
Me?
I don’t claim to know what will happen. The size of the new tax on goods, not services, is beyond anything I’ve seen in my adult lifetime. Undoubtedly certain American businesses will benefit from the tariffs. Others will not.
It seems certain to me that coffee drinkers will face prices shocks, as only a small amount of domestic coffee is grown in Hawaii, and the amount is dwindling due to crop diseases and funguses. Puerto Rico has a small but thriving coffee industry, but coffee planting takes time to produce additional beans.
To me, there is little need for tariffs on coffee to protect our domestic coffee farmers, as few domestic coffee sources exist. With almost all our consumption of coffee coming from overseas sources, high tariffs mean that coffee drinkers will take a hit.
This morning, stock values plummeted until someone in the administration leaked news mid-morning that Trump was considering a delay in implementing the higher tariffs. Stock values shot up wildly. The White House then quashed the story, and stocks fell again just as fast, but not as far. Investors are jittery and easily swayed by the slightest encouraging word.
Only a small number of monthly economic reports are due to be released this week. New data, therefore, will be thin. Theories will be thick.
Economists will likely be all over the spectrum. It’s only been five days since Trump’s tariff announcement.
And so it goes.
Pierre Tristam says
Disgusted, our address reads “Palm Coast, Florida,” not “Pyongyang, North Korea.” Would you be more comfortable in the latter?
Sherry says
@disgusted. . . Why? Why? Why? Would “any” thinking person support a convicted felon and sexual abuser who is completely wrecking our economy, our relationships with allies, firing thousands of government employees without cause, sending innocent people to prisons in other countries with zero due process against a judge’s order . Why would any person in their right mind support such a person?
Oh! Oh! I think I’ve answered my own question when I stipulated “thinking” and “right mind”. . . as Emily Litella on SNL would say
“Never Mind”!
Laurel says
Sherry: I loved Gilda Radner! My favorite Emily Litella report started out with “What’s all this I hear about endangered feces?”
I think we have a real problem with not so endangered feces in government right now.
Never mind.
Trump will fix it.
Ed P says
Hey Jim,
Bet you didn’t see todays curve ball, the trains were on different t tracks….no wreck.
As I posted multiple times, the expert, the novice, the stupidly gullible can not predict the out come of the Trump Admissions policies. Too soon and not enough information/data available with any reliable historical reference points. Predicting tonight’s lottery numbers would be easier. Tariffs are extremely complex.
The Canadian, Mexican, Greenland, Panama Canal, Gaza, and the Ukrainian situations have provided so much misdirection, unpredictability, and unorthodox maneuvering that it very well may be ignorance and inexperience. But remember there is a fine line between genius and insanity. We will have to wait and see.
All I’m suggesting is that you can not worry about worry. The stock market is Wall Street, not Main Street. Anyone who can not stomach market risk should not be invested in equities. IRAs, 401k, 401c, or government pension plans all have fixed income investments that may suit those people. Once again, no one can predict if the $6 trillion dollars in market losses caused by tariff uncertainty will rebound or when. I hope it will, but hope is not a strategy nor a prediction.
Also, remember that when the market experiences a significant decline, it’s often a transfer of wealth rather than a destruction of wealth. Selling when the market craters doesn’t necessarily mean the sale was below the price paid for the stock. The best example I can provide is if you bought a stock at $20 and it ran up to $450 and you got spooked and sold it at $200, you still made 10x. It’s not always a loss but a transfer. Opportunity lost is not the same as a real dollar loss.