Last Updated: 10:46 a.m.
Note: WNZF and three other Flagler Broadcasting radio stations will have storm updates at 10 a.m., 2 and 4 p.m. today. See Monday’s Milton reporting here.
Hurricane Milton’s projected path has remained remarkably steady with very slight variations north or south, but with models agreeing on landfall in the Tampa Bay area after midnight Thursday and now mostly merging to agree on a path along or a bit south of I-4, toward Merritt Island and the Space Coast, where it would exit, still as a hurricane, Thursday afternoon.
“But again, please don’t focus on the center of the cone,” Flagler County Emergency Management Director Jonathan Lord said this morning. “Definitely expect the eye can travel anywhere within that cone, and potentially outside of the cone. Sometimes, that’s why the cone shifts. But again, this cone hasn’t shifted too much.”
The storm’s nearly 12-hour crawl across the state is slower than previously estimated, and the size of the storm is growing larger–two factors that will compound damages and dangers and likely increase the extent of power cuts in the storm’s path and its rain-heavy northern front, which includes Flagler County. Conditions will deteriorate in Flagler Tuesday night, but most local impacts are expected Wednesday afternoon through Thursday, according to the National Weather Service in Jacksonville.
Tropical-storm force winds ranging between 40 and 70 mph are expected in Flagler County, with the possibility of hurricane-force winds especially on the barrier island. A very slight change either way could have significant consequences for the Flagler-Palm Coast area, especially if the storm wobbles north. The entire county remains in the storm’s cone of probability, which means the storm could cross any portion of the county.
Flagler County is facing a heavy rain event, with “extreme flooding rain” in the southern third of the county. That includes Seminole Woods and Quail Hollow in Palm Coast and Hunters Ridge in the unincorporated part of the county, and on the barrier island, including Flagler Beach and Beverly Beach. The National Weather Service places rain totals at 10 to 15 inches for the county–or possibly more than a foot, on already saturated grounds. Tree falls will be more frequent because of weakened roots and strong winds. A flash flood watch is in effect for the whole county.
“This is a generalization, because every storm is different,” Lord said. “If you saw flooding in Irma, Ian or Nicole, you are likely to see flooding with this storm in our community. That does not mean that you’re guaranteed. You might end up with a dry lawn, and may end up with a wet lawn if you’re on the waterways and say, Well, I didn’t have it in Irma. Every storm is different, but the good generalization is Irma, Ian or Nicole, if you saw water in many one of those storms, there’s a good chance you’re going to see water again in this storm.” That goes for “the bulk of the barrier island,” he said.
The local storm surge along the coast and the Intracoastal is expected to be around 3 to 5 feet–severe enough for low-lying areas and homes along the Intracoastal, such as Flagler Avenue, Lambert Avenue and Palm Drive in Flagler Beach to be affected. Those are among the neighborhoods that will likely be facing evacuation orders. Some evacuations are expected to be announced today in Flagler, as will the opening of shelters in Palm Coast. The shelter will open at Rymfire Elementary for special needs, the general population, and residents with pets.
A 2 to 4 foot storm surge is also expected along the St. Johns River Basin, including Crescent Lake, which will affect western portions of Flagler County. A Storm Surge Warning has been issued from the Volusia/Brevard County Line northward to the mouth of the St. Mary’s River, including the St. Johns River. A Hurricane Warning is now in effect for the east coast of Florida from the Indian River/St. Lucie County Line northward to Ponte Vedra Beach, including all of Flagler County’s coastline.
The storm is a still-major Category 4, with winds of 145 miles per hour, with further fluctuations in strength expected over the next 48 hours before landfall, “but there is high confidence that Milton will remain an extremely dangerous hurricane when it reaches the state,” the National Hurricane Center said in its early-morning advisory. But it will weaken after landfall.
“A large area of destructive storm surge will occur along parts of the west coast of Florida. This is an extremely life-threatening situation and residents in those areas should follow advice given by local officials and evacuate immediately if told to do so,” NHC states.
At 8 this morning Hurricane Milton was 545 miles southwest of Tampa, with sustained winds of 145 miles per hour and moving east northeast at 12 mph. It went through an eyewall replacement cycle overnight, which weakened the strength of the storm while expanding it. Eyewall replacement cycles are common with large storms, causing fluctuations in their intensity. Milton is expected to accelerate today as it continues to move toward Tampa.
- Indian Trails Sports Complex, 5455 Belle Terre Pkwy, Palm Coast. This is a self-service station, and residents must be able to fill and load the sandbags into their vehicles. Sand and sandbags are available. Please bring a shovel.
- 100 Fin Way at the corner of Belle Terre Boulevard south of State Road 100. This is a self-service station but assistance will also be provided beginning Monday, October 7, 2024, from 1 p.m. to 6 p.m. and again on Tuesday, October 8, 2024, at 8 a.m.
- Flagler Beach: Santa Maria del Mar Catholic Church, 915 North Central Ave., Monday starting at 9 a.m.
- Flagler Beach Fire Station, 320 South Flagler Avenue, Monday starting at 9 a.m.
- Hidden Trails Community Park in the Mondex, 6180 Mahogany Boulevard, Bunnell, from 10 a.m. to sunset.
- Bay Drive Park, 30 Bay Drive in the Hammock, from 10 a.m. to sunset.
- In Bunnell, the sandbag station on South Pine Street behind Coquina City Hall is still running. The last sand delivery arrived the morning of October 8th. This station will operate today until materials – either sand or bags – are gone. There will be no operations for sandbags after Tuesday, October 8th.
POTENTIAL EVACUATIONS: While no evacuation orders are currently in effect, residents living in mobile homes, coastal communities, and other specified areas below are urged to prepare for possible evacuations. When evacuations are ordered, they are issued by neighborhood. More specific information will be provided in the coming days. If evacuations occur, a shelter inclusive of pets and those with special needs will be set up at Rymfire Elementary (1425 Rymfire Dr, Palm Coast, FL 32164).
- Residents living in Mobile Homes and RV’s Countywide
- Coastal / Island Communities
- The entire island from the St Johns County Line to the Volusia County Line
- Marineland through Flagler Beach
- Mainland Communities
- South of SR-100 (Moody Blvd)
- Neighborhoods off John Anderson Hwy
- Neighborhoods off Palm Dr
- Bulow RV Park & Homes, off Old Kings Rd
- Polo Club West / Sweetbottom Plantation properties along Lexington Court / Ashland Way and that back up to the Bulow Creek
- Between SR-100 (Moody Blvd) and Palm Coast Pkwy
- Neighborhoods off Lambert Ave
- In Marina Del Palm the properties along the Intracoastal Waterway / basin
- In Palm Coast Plantation:
- Properties off South / North Riverwalk Drive
- North of Palm Coast Pkwy
- Properties within Princess Place
- South of SR-100 (Moody Blvd)
Flagler County Schools will hold classes Tuesday but cancel all afternoon athletics and activities. Extended day will stay open until 6 p.m. Flagler schools will remain closed through Friday.
Daytona State College, the University of Central Florida and Stetson University are closing Tuesday and will remain closed through Thursday or Friday.
The Flagler County Supervisor of Elections Office will close at noon Wednesday, October 9 through Friday, October 11, reopening Monday, October 14. The Canvassing Board meeting scheduled for Friday, October 11 has been canceled. More information: Legal Notices
In Palm Coast:
- The City Council Workshop meeting scheduled for Tuesday, October 8, 2024, at 9 a.m. has been postponed and will be rescheduled.
- The groundbreaking ceremony for Fire Station 26, scheduled for Thursday, October 10, 2024, has been postponed and will be rescheduled.
- The Town Hall meeting with Council Member Pontieri, scheduled for Thursday, October 10, 2024, has been postponed and will be rescheduled.
- The Utility Drive lobby at 2 Utility Drive is closed to the public. All resources have been reassigned to storm-related tasks.
- Palm Coast City Hall, Community Center, Palm Harbor Golf Club, Southern Recreation Center, Palm Coast Aquatics Center, all parks, trails, and sports fields will be closed on Wednesday, October 9, and Thursday, October 10.
The Flagler County Public Library is closed Wednesday and Thursday, as will county government offices.
Flagler County courthouse closed Wednesday and Thursday.
In Palm Coast: Garbage collection services have been canceled for Wednesday, October 9, 2024, and Thursday, October 10, 2024. This includes yard debris and recycling. The next pickup day will be the regularly scheduled pickup day.
In Unincorporated Flagler County:
WastePro pick-up is cancelled Wednesday, Thursday for unincorporated Flagler County.
In Bunnell:
- City Solid Waste Service Changes already announced Thursday COMMERCIAL pick-ups will occur WEDNESDAY; THURSDAY residential services (Grand Reserve Golf Course) are CANCELLLED Thursday; if possible Grand Reserve residential could be picked up FRIDAY;
- City Solid Waste changes (NEW)– BULK PICK UP for FRIDAY, October 11th is CANCELLED
- City Solid Waste changes (NEW)- depending on City conditions (safety of roads), YARD WASTE pick-up may start as soon as FRIDAY, October 11th. Solid Waste trucks may also be working over the weekend to start YARD WASTE pick up. Yard Waste and other debris needs to be kept separate; DO NOT combine these piles and DO NOT place piles near obstructions like cars, power poles, mailboxes, etc. or under obstructions like power lines or cable lines.
Sherry says
More desantis political BS. . . he will most certainly have his hand out for federal disaster relief dollars. . . but, he still refuses to meet with President Biden. . . this from Politico:
The dispute between the White House and DeSantis comes after Biden visited Florida last week to survey storm damage from Hurricane Helene. DeSantis, however, held a press event across the state in another storm-damaged area — the second time the governor has skipped out on a presidential visit from Biden in the aftermath of a hurricane.
DeSantis similarly did not tour damage with Biden when Hurricane Idalia hit last year, while DeSantis was a presidential candidate.
“We were in Florida, we invited the governor of Florida to come, it was his decision not to attend,” White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre told reporters Monday. “The president has reached out around Hurricane Helene. He reached out. It is up to the governor, it is really up to the governor.”